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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 105 Excitement13.3 [9] MVPDerrick Rose (CHI): +64.5%
Boston Celtics 103 Comeback4.2 [143] LVPRay Allen (BOS): -38.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Rose0.650,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.650.160.47-0.021972%0.855-0.2012100%0.19
Tyrus Thomas0.390,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.390.030.35-0.011267%0.453-0.0600%0.00
Ben Gordon0.170,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.42,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.170.030.150.011748%0.1700.00887%0.04
Tim Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Salmons-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.011637%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.00437%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.320,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32,-0.32-0.05-0.27-0.001242%-0.142-0.18250%-0.03
Brad Miller-0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37-0.16-0.210.001118%-0.233-0.1500%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.40.400.130.270.002163%0.501-0.104100%0.09
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.050.050.020.03-0.001547%0.0500.00875%0.01
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00550%0.021-0.02667%-0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01831%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.030.001161%0.103-0.1210%-0.01
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.13,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.002148%0.164-0.23683%-0.08
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.060.0020%-0.042-0.1000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.39-0.39-0.15-0.24-0.001215%-0.371-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game31.13.731.318.026.53.046.21.717.8179.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +66.8%
BOS -1.5%
BOS -4.1%
BOS -7.3%
BOS -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIBOSNBACHIBOSNBA
this game13.715.415.595.594.5106.4
season14.815.8106.3108.3
opponent15.615.7101.7107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI12.413.015.913.314.713.7
BOS14.315.816.114.418.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon95930.64-0.140.780.67-13-414.011.42.6315.316.0-0.73
Kirk Hinrich52480.61-0.110.720.359-71611.415.7-4.3016.214.71.52
Derrick Rose1031030.500.000.500.278-61413.812.11.6315.217.7-2.42
Brad Miller55580.280.220.070.029-71613.114.3-1.2415.515.20.26
Tyrus Thomas58570.270.230.040.30-13-414.213.11.0915.015.7-0.71
John Salmons83860.150.35-0.210.38-810-1814.112.31.7815.016.7-1.73
Joakim Noah93900.050.45-0.400.23-68-1414.210.53.7215.514.70.77
Tim Thomas11100.000.50-0.500.0002-212.513.8-1.2516.815.21.57

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glen Davis82820.03-0.530.56-0.187-91615.016.7-1.7214.710.64.06
Stephon Marbury2223-0.06-0.440.380.06-42-615.815.30.5510.514.5-3.98
Mikki Moore1112-0.13-0.370.250.05-64-1017.315.22.1111.713.9-2.16
Tony Allen1719-0.19-0.310.130.08-97-1614.815.5-0.6511.414.1-2.72
Paul Pierce8788-0.24-0.260.02-0.5611-132414.817.7-2.9514.211.52.66
Kendrick Perkins8586-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.384-61015.215.9-0.6414.610.44.16
Eddie House3537-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-97-1616.814.72.1011.115.0-3.95
Leon Powe3535-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-108-1816.714.72.0111.414.7-3.38
Rajon Rondo8990-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.474-61015.216.2-1.0714.111.92.17
Ray Allen8278-0.730.23-0.96-0.792-4615.315.5-0.1414.611.53.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.64,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.34,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 103, VAN 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.16,089.6%
DAL 101, HOU 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.58,089.4%
CLE 86, MIA 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.16,0.26,089.1%