inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 103 Excitement11.2 [28] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +6.9%
Vancouver Grizzlies 99 Comeback2.1 [438] LVPMilt Palacio (VAN): -48.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.05-0.011350%0.111-0.04250%-0.01
Steve Nash0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.060.030.02-0.001567%0.184-0.13683%0.02
Michael Finley0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.04,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.04-0.020.05-0.013148%0.091-0.059100%0.08
Shawn Bradley0.030,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.01473%0.0300.00367%-0.01
Cedric Ceballos0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.03-0.021035%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Sean Rooks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00167%0.001-0.024100%0.02
Hubert Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22-0.13-0.12-0.031137%-0.153-0.08560%-0.06

Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.030.032560%0.215-0.191090%0.06
Cherokee Parks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0-0.00-0.020.020.00475%0.113-0.1100%0.00
Dennis Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.03-0.00445%0.021-0.03367%-0.00
Michael Dickerson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.06,-0.04-0.04-0.120.08-0.001736%0.132-0.175100%0.10
Doug West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.05-0.02520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Felipe Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.050.00250%-0.031-0.05450%-0.04
Othella Harrington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.08-0.01853%-0.051-0.04367%-0.00
Bryant Reeves0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.00643%-0.033-0.072100%0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.11-0.12-0.031540%-0.104-0.1000%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.2,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48-0.48-0.04-0.450.00340%-0.4800.0040%-0.50
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.12.425.715.724.22.350.41.418.4170.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +12.3%
DAL +18.4%
VAN -25.8%
DAL +39.3%
DAL +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALVANNBADALVANNBA
this game14.815.915.299.096.1101.7
season14.815.9104.299.5
opponent15.014.8105.9104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL15.612.415.316.214.714.8
VAN15.017.614.716.515.315.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Strickland79760.76-0.261.020.2916-122814.416.3-1.9716.015.70.27
Steve Nash75740.67-0.170.840.3810-61614.316.2-1.8716.215.20.97
Michael Finley1031030.53-0.030.550.356-2815.02.012.9515.90.015.90
Cedric Ceballos55590.420.080.33-0.0516-122813.915.9-1.9517.314.03.32
Dirk Nowitzki73740.300.200.100.155-1615.413.51.8715.716.4-0.76
Shawn Bradley50470.170.33-0.150.32-59-1415.214.50.7216.115.70.37
Sean Rooks13130.020.48-0.46-0.0113-213.815.0-1.2116.015.90.11
Greg Buckner4845-0.060.56-0.610.44-1721-3815.714.01.7114.716.8-2.08
Hubert Davis2524-0.170.67-0.850.12-1014-2415.314.70.6013.716.6-2.81

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Milt Palacio3432-0.04-0.460.42-0.309-132216.115.80.2816.514.12.37
Cherokee Parks99-0.05-0.450.39-0.143-71019.115.63.5220.414.36.15
Dennis Scott4851-0.06-0.440.39-0.060-4415.816.0-0.2113.815.8-2.05
Doug West3738-0.06-0.440.380.14-73-1016.915.31.5915.614.41.14
Michael Dickerson7071-0.10-0.400.30-0.338-122015.516.7-1.1714.814.9-0.08
Othella Harrington4849-0.15-0.350.21-0.419-132215.516.2-0.6815.514.21.29
Bryant Reeves4744-0.25-0.250.010.02-95-1415.816.0-0.2513.615.7-2.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim8990-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.436-101615.717.0-1.2715.510.64.83
Mike Bibby6872-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.07-139-2216.015.80.2014.116.5-2.37
Felipe Lopez2321-0.530.03-0.55-0.38-51-614.916.2-1.2715.914.61.35
Grant Long4243-0.560.06-0.620.05-2117-3816.315.60.6512.816.2-3.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 105, BOS 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.64,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.34,0.42,089.6%
DAL 114, DEN 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,088.4%
BOS 110, WAS 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.07,088.3%