NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	4.3 [756]		MVP	JaVale McGee (WAS): +12.9%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	1.3 [1056]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -11.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	13	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Nick Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.01	10	90%	0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	18	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	14	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	9	74%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	18	77%	0.20	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	29%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.3	25.1	15.8	24.1	2.4	25.7	119.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.9%

SAS +0.6%

SAS +5.6%

SAS +3.4%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.6	104.3	120.4	102.8
season	15.0	15.3		99.5	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	15.3	16.7	13.8	15.3
SAS	15.1	16.7	15.2	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	10.7	15.5	-4.83	14.2	15.7	-1.44
JaVale McGee	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-15	15	15.3	15.3	0.00	16.4	14.4	1.99
Roger Mason Jr.	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-11	7	14.3	15.8	-1.49	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Chris Singleton	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-8	1	15.9	14.9	1.01	16.0	15.3	0.69
John Wall	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-11	7	15.4	15.1	0.31	16.5	13.8	2.64
Jan Vesely	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-9	3	15.0	15.5	-0.58	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Trevor Booker	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-6	-3	15.5	15.0	0.58	16.2	14.5	1.67
Shelvin Mack	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-4	-7	15.1	15.4	-0.31	13.8	16.5	-2.64
Nick Young	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	14.9	15.9	-1.01	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Jordan Crawford	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-4	-7	15.8	14.3	1.49	15.8	15.2	0.55
Andray Blatche	35	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	0	-15	15.7	15.1	0.64	14.5	16.3	-1.82

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	43	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.06	23	-8	31	14.3	16.7	-2.37	16.2	14.6	1.63
Gary Neal	41	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-1	17	14.3	16.6	-2.29	16.0	14.8	1.13
Kawhi Leonard	56	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	0	15	14.9	16.8	-1.88	15.1	15.7	-0.67
Tony Parker	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	2	11	16.1	14.7	1.41	15.9	14.0	1.90
Tiago Splitter	39	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	3	9	14.8	16.2	-1.34	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Tim Duncan	54	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	12	-9	16.2	14.8	1.34	15.7	14.8	0.95
Danny Green	27	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	12	-9	14.6	16.1	-1.51	14.4	15.8	-1.36
Richard Jefferson	45	48	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	13	-11	17.0	14.4	2.58	15.5	15.2	0.32
James Anderson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	14.2	15.7	-1.44	10.7	15.5	-4.83
Cory Joseph	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	14.2	15.7	-1.44	10.7	15.5	-4.83
Manu Ginobili	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	19	-23	16.8	14.8	2.06	15.3	15.4	-0.06
DeJuan Blair	50	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	23	-31	16.7	14.3	2.37	14.6	16.2	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NYK 82, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DEN 92, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%