inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 74 Excitement4.1 [983] MVPKevin Willis (SAS): +10.9%
San Antonio Spurs 99 Comeback1.1 [1152] LVPJason Richardson (GSW): -20.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Erick Dampier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01460%0.0200.002100%0.01
Troy Murphy0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.001057%0.011-0.00367%0.01
Brian Cardinal0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.00460%0.0100.002100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.02-0.041545%0.042-0.03333%-0.02
Adonal Foyle-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.011751%0.054-0.0830%-0.04
Calbert Cheaney-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
J.R. Bremer-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0040%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00312%-0.071-0.02250%-0.02
Jason Richardson-0.200,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.22-0.01-0.041130%-0.096-0.11580%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.010.021173%0.1100.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.01876%0.112-0.031100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00862%0.0600.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.011145%0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.020.041167%0.052-0.03250%-0.01
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.01825%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.010.05965%0.002-0.04862%-0.03
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.0560%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.010.000.07859%-0.041-0.02683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.51.829.615.826.71.626.7123.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.4%
GSW -0.0%
GSW -2.9%
SAS +23.8%
GSW -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game17.516.615.787.1117.9100.5
season16.115.9100.8100.1
opponent15.815.392.7101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW18.218.116.816.917.5
SAS14.516.916.718.216.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Bremer2021-0.10-0.400.29-0.131-262715.318.2-2.9017.216.30.90
Adonal Foyle2019-0.11-0.390.280.33-15-10-516.817.7-0.9417.416.31.05
Brian Cardinal2525-0.12-0.380.260.12-8-17917.017.7-0.7315.916.8-0.97
Troy Murphy3737-0.12-0.380.260.23-12-13116.518.3-1.8716.916.30.69
Mickael Pietrus2828-0.13-0.370.250.08-7-181117.617.50.1916.716.50.29
Erick Dampier4443-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-262717.817.20.5316.316.8-0.43
Avery Johnson2927-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-7-181117.817.40.3715.916.9-1.04
Mike Dunleavy6967-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-20-5-1517.617.10.4816.716.00.70
Calbert Cheaney3633-0.35-0.15-0.200.24-20-5-1518.716.62.1415.617.2-1.62
Jason Richardson6062-0.39-0.11-0.270.14-18-7-1117.417.7-0.2317.015.21.80
Clifford Robinson5758-0.49-0.01-0.490.09-20-5-1518.316.02.2616.417.0-0.58

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili44460.410.090.32-0.151961315.817.3-1.5117.118.0-0.89
Hedo Turkoglu49490.350.150.21-0.061411316.916.10.8619.115.33.84
Rasho Nesterovic47450.320.180.15-0.292141717.016.01.0519.215.63.62
Tony Parker62630.300.200.09-0.17169716.516.9-0.4117.717.00.76
Devin Brown34330.290.210.08-0.352231917.016.30.6917.717.40.29
Robert Horry32360.270.230.030.06718-1115.217.4-2.1216.218.5-2.25
Malik Rose57550.250.250.00-0.25178917.115.51.5917.916.91.01
Kevin Willis32340.160.34-0.190.01520-1516.316.7-0.4516.118.5-2.43
Bruce Bowen53550.150.35-0.200.15025-2515.917.6-1.7217.118.3-1.16
Charlie Ward550.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2120.616.34.3011.417.9-6.50
Jason Hart540.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2120.616.34.3011.017.8-6.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 97, SAS 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,196.3%
LAL 89, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
POR 87, NOH 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.6%