NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	4.1 [789]		MVP	Jason Kapono (LAL): +12.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.5 [700]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): -13.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	65%	0.03	1	-0.00	14	79%	0.03
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.01	0.07	14	71%	0.11	5	-0.11	10	90%	0.02
Josh Harrellson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Fields	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	8	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	17	37%	-0.04	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	3	129%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	17	64%	0.20	5	-0.11	10	70%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	53%	0.06	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.4	35.3	19.4	29.4	2.7	33.0	152.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +58.4%

NYK -13.7%

LAL +4.1%

NYK -4.3%

LAL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	17.0	15.6	92.1	111.2	102.8
season	14.9	16.2		102.3	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.5	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	15.3	14.6	15.9	15.4
LAL	15.7	16.7	18.1	17.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	43	43	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-17	17	15.0	15.7	-0.79	19.0	15.2	3.82
Jeremy Lin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	9.0	15.5	-6.51	23.7	16.8	6.90
Jerome Jordan	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	9.0	15.5	-6.51	23.7	16.8	6.90
Renaldo Balkman	19	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-19	21	15.9	15.2	0.68	16.6	17.1	-0.47
Josh Harrellson	28	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-15	13	14.5	15.8	-1.25	17.3	16.9	0.41
Steve Novak	21	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-14	11	13.8	15.8	-2.03	18.0	16.7	1.35
Toney Douglas	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-11	5	15.3	15.4	-0.08	17.7	15.4	2.30
Tyson Chandler	66	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	-1	-15	16.0	13.4	2.65	16.3	18.7	-2.34
Carmelo Anthony	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	-1	-15	15.6	14.6	0.98	16.5	18.6	-2.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-2	-13	15.8	14.5	1.25	16.9	17.3	-0.41
Henry Walker	34	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-3	-11	14.6	15.8	-1.25	16.1	17.5	-1.43
Mike Bibby	40	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	2	-21	16.2	14.7	1.48	14.9	18.6	-3.70

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	48	47	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-2	21	15.9	18.2	-2.31	15.4	15.3	0.18
Troy Murphy	38	39	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	0	17	17.7	16.5	1.24	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Pau Gasol	66	67	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	0	17	16.7	17.8	-1.11	16.1	13.2	2.83
Steve Blake	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	0	17	17.2	16.8	0.36	15.4	15.3	0.17
Josh McRoberts	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	11	-5	16.9	17.2	-0.28	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Kobe Bryant	64	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	10	-3	16.9	17.2	-0.33	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Jason Kapono	27	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	11	-5	17.1	17.0	0.11	16.0	15.1	0.96
Matt Barnes	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	14	-11	16.7	17.2	-0.54	15.5	15.2	0.30
Derek Fisher	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	15	-13	16.3	17.6	-1.27	15.6	15.2	0.40
Luke Walton	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	21.7	16.8	4.97	10.3	15.5	-5.20
Andrew Goudelock	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	23.7	16.8	6.90	9.0	15.5	-6.51
Devin Ebanks	26	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	23	-29	18.7	16.3	2.45	14.2	15.8	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIL 112, OKC 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.91,0.91,1	95.5%
NOH 81, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%