inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 81 Excitement3.8 [833] MVPBrandan Wright (DAL): +5.9%
Dallas Mavericks 96 Comeback1.2 [1023] LVPJarrett Jack (NOH): -10.1%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carldell Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01764%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Carl Landry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.01757%0.042-0.04786%0.02
Chris Kaman-0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00856%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.000,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01868%0.094-0.10683%0.02
Gustavo Ayon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01460%0.033-0.062100%0.01
Trey Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.03747%-0.011-0.02560%-0.01
Marco Belinelli-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.01430%-0.042-0.05250%-0.01
Jarrett Jack-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.011441%-0.033-0.074100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.002100%0.0600.001100%0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01-0.041055%0.102-0.0400%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.01665%0.072-0.02837%-0.03
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01660%0.041-0.028100%0.02
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01950%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.011154%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Dominique Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.04967%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.03-0.01637%0.011-0.024100%0.02
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.011136%-0.0500.006100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.536.212.031.12.530.4138.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +20.8%
DAL +4.6%
NOH -0.5%
DAL +18.8%
DAL +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHDALNBANOHDALNBA
this game16.214.815.688.0102.1102.8
season16.315.599.2101.6
opponent15.515.7100.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.215.115.717.916.2
DAL15.813.215.015.714.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carldell Johnson3032-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-171917.215.61.6015.914.31.58
Trey Johnson1415-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-151519.115.63.5315.014.80.20
Gustavo Ayon1516-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-12912.716.8-4.1614.215.0-0.77
Carl Landry5154-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-9316.615.61.0214.914.70.27
Chris Kaman4747-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-11716.915.41.5215.214.50.72
Marco Belinelli3434-0.24-0.260.010.02-9-6-316.516.00.5114.315.1-0.84
Jarrett Jack7677-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-5-515.519.2-3.6714.516.2-1.72
Greivis Vasquez3435-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-3-915.816.4-0.6115.114.70.41
Emeka Okafor7475-0.44-0.06-0.380.06-172-1915.917.1-1.1214.715.5-0.87
Al-Farouq Aminu8585-0.530.03-0.56-0.06-161-1716.018.0-2.0014.815.1-0.31

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Marion60560.400.100.30-0.1619-42314.615.2-0.6417.114.72.30
Jason Terry60600.390.110.29-0.0816-11714.715.1-0.4016.016.4-0.39
Dirk Nowitzki61590.340.160.19-0.071411314.515.5-1.0116.216.10.10
Vince Carter50490.290.210.090.15510-515.114.50.5317.215.02.25
Ian Mahinmi46460.240.26-0.02-0.08114715.314.40.8915.616.7-1.17
Brendan Haywood33320.180.32-0.130.04510-515.414.50.8716.715.80.92
Delonte West44410.170.33-0.16-0.0378-115.414.31.0917.015.51.44
Lamar Odom36370.160.34-0.180.13114-1315.914.21.7216.416.00.38
Rodrigue Beaubois33340.150.35-0.200.09213-1114.315.1-0.8613.917.5-3.55
Brian Cardinal28290.100.40-0.310.13-116-1714.914.80.1414.616.9-2.29
Brandan Wright15140.070.43-0.350.10-116-1712.215.3-3.1316.716.10.66
Dominique Jones43-0.010.51-0.520.08-318-2110.715.0-4.2611.016.3-5.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 82, CHI 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%
LAL 71, MIN 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
DET 93, LAL 1130.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%