NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	71		Excitement	3.7 [1058]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +6.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	1.2 [1094]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -16.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Karl Malone	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	5	45%	-0.01	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	24	47%	-0.05	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.12	2	-0.05	14	43%	-0.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	20	53%	0.08	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	16	47%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	3.5	33.9	18.7	24.4	3.7	35.2	151.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.8%

MIN +12.8%

LAL -7.1%

MIN +12.8%

MIN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.3	18.3	15.7	87.7	109.9	100.5
season	15.4	15.6		102.8	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	17.1	16.7	18.8	17.3
MIN	14.5	20.8	17.6	21.2	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-16	14	11.7	17.5	-5.83	12.7	18.5	-5.82
Luke Walton	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-17	16	21.0	17.0	3.96	18.5	18.3	0.25
Karl Malone	48	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-17	16	16.5	18.4	-1.82	18.2	18.4	-0.24
Brian Cook	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-12	6	16.3	17.4	-1.12	19.8	18.0	1.79
Devean George	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-13	8	17.0	17.6	-0.67	16.6	20.0	-3.41
Slava Medvedenko	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-8	-2	18.3	16.7	1.59	18.8	18.0	0.84
Kareem Rush	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-10	2	17.6	17.1	0.44	18.9	17.9	0.92
Gary Payton	63	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-9	0	17.6	16.1	1.58	18.5	17.2	1.31
Derek Fisher	36	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.14	-16	-2	-14	17.4	17.2	0.29	20.4	16.7	3.64
Shaquille O'Neal	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-2	-14	17.6	15.7	1.80	18.0	19.9	-1.97
Kobe Bryant	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-2	-14	16.9	20.0	-3.06	17.9	21.1	-3.23

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	66	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-3	24	18.6	16.7	1.97	17.2	17.6	-0.35
Latrell Sprewell	74	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	0	18	18.0	21.4	-3.46	17.4	16.2	1.21
Darrick Martin	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	1	16	17.7	20.2	-2.51	17.0	18.3	-1.28
Kevin Garnett	71	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	2	14	18.1	19.5	-1.40	16.8	21.0	-4.18
Ervin Johnson	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	1	16	18.4	18.2	0.17	18.8	16.0	2.84
Fred Hoiberg	27	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	11	-4	20.4	17.2	3.15	17.5	17.2	0.37
Oliver Miller	19	19	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	17	-16	19.4	17.9	1.50	15.3	17.9	-2.64
Mark Madsen	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	17	-16	20.0	18.0	2.03	19.9	16.8	3.09
Michael Olowokandi	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	20	-22	16.1	18.8	-2.62	16.1	17.6	-1.49
Sam Cassell	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	18	-18	15.0	18.3	-3.31	19.5	17.2	2.27
Gary Trent	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	20	-22	21.2	18.1	3.12	18.8	17.2	1.62
Trenton Hassell	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	22	-26	15.5	18.8	-3.35	17.2	17.3	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 81, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
BKN 87, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	95.9%
VAN 73, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%