NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	87		Excitement	4.6 [909]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +13.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	1.1 [908]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (BKN): -7.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.03	18	53%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	17	60%	0.07	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	15	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Jorge Gutierrez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.03	14	76%	0.19	4	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	27%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	13	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.02
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.5	27.5	15.5	23.2	2.5	38.5	137.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +49.6%

BKN -2.6%

POR +12.6%

BKN -7.0%

BKN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	POR	NBA	BKN	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.1	94.6	106.6	104.2
season	15.3	15.3		102.9	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.8	15.4	16.3	14.9	15.6
POR	13.6	15.9	19.7	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Jefferson	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	6.0	15.7	-9.67	0.0	16.1	-16.09
Brook Lopez	53	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-13	16	16.1	14.9	1.16	17.4	13.8	3.59
Kevin Garnett	54	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-9	8	15.5	15.7	-0.20	16.1	15.6	0.48
Bojan Bogdanovic	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-6	2	16.3	14.6	1.68	16.3	15.4	0.93
Mason Plumlee	31	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	16.2	15.3	0.90	16.5	15.6	0.95
Jorge Gutierrez	9	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-1	-8	12.2	15.9	-3.71	7.2	16.7	-9.50
Alan Anderson	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-6	2	16.3	15.3	0.98	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Jerome Jordan	15	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-1	-8	14.8	15.7	-0.91	13.8	16.3	-2.51
Joe Johnson	65	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-11	12	15.7	15.3	0.33	17.1	12.8	4.24
Mirza Teletovic	31	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	0	-10	14.6	16.0	-1.39	13.1	17.2	-4.10
Jarrett Jack	52	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	15.1	16.1	-1.03	15.0	17.0	-1.94
Deron Williams	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	15.6	15.5	0.09	16.5	13.8	2.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	32	34	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.16	17	-7	24	14.0	17.0	-3.00	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Damian Lillard	73	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.23	2	8	-6	16.4	14.1	2.25	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Chris Kaman	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	1	8	15.9	15.9	-0.00	15.6	15.5	0.13
Meyers Leonard	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	9	-8	16.3	15.3	0.99	15.5	15.7	-0.26
Will Barton	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	2	6	14.6	16.6	-1.96	15.8	15.4	0.36
Allen Crabbe	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	6	-2	16.4	15.0	1.48	15.4	15.9	-0.54
Joel Freeland	32	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	5	0	16.2	15.7	0.47	16.2	15.2	0.97
Robin Lopez	57	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	9	-8	15.9	15.9	0.00	15.5	15.6	-0.13
CJ McCollum	19	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	4	2	14.7	16.2	-1.55	15.7	15.5	0.21
Wesley Matthews	63	61	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	13	-16	16.4	14.8	1.58	15.7	15.3	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 96, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAL 71, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 84, CHH 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%