NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	4.0 [980]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +14.5%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	1.5 [1015]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hanno Mottola	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dion Glover	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	0.07	12	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	20	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.01	0.03	18	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	15	51%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.03	13	23%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	27.1	16.5	24.4	1.8	29.0	123.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +34.9%

ATL -1.4%

ATL -4.4%

CHH +20.5%

CHH +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHH	NBA	ATL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.5	91.3	107.4	100.9
season	15.4	15.8		96.0	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		97.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	14.6	15.9	14.0	15.1
CHH	13.6	14.8	17.6	17.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	8.4	15.6	-7.17	19.0	15.6	3.38
Chris Crawford	27	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-18	19	12.0	16.3	-4.32	16.8	15.6	1.23
Dion Glover	11	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-12	7	13.6	15.2	-1.61	12.4	16.4	-4.00
Dikembe Mutombo	61	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-14	11	15.3	14.5	0.81	16.2	15.4	0.73
Brevin Knight	68	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-9	1	15.5	13.7	1.88	16.7	13.6	3.08
Alan Henderson	24	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	-2	-13	16.1	14.7	1.45	14.2	16.5	-2.31
Hanno Mottola	28	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-3	-11	16.3	14.5	1.77	15.0	16.3	-1.22
Lorenzen Wright	59	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-13	9	15.0	15.2	-0.20	16.3	15.1	1.23
Roshown McLeod	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	1	-19	16.8	14.1	2.65	14.1	16.8	-2.74
DerMarr Johnson	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-12	7	14.8	15.8	-0.94	16.4	14.3	2.18
Jason Terry	73	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-1	-15	15.0	15.1	-0.06	15.7	16.9	-1.22

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	70	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	4	9	16.2	15.0	1.21	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Eddie Robinson	28	27	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	5	7	15.3	16.2	-0.83	16.1	14.6	1.50
Elden Campbell	52	48	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	2	13	16.2	15.5	0.73	16.1	13.9	2.24
Tim James	22	21	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	9	-1	15.9	15.9	-0.05	14.8	15.1	-0.38
Eldridge Recasner	23	23	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	8	1	15.3	16.1	-0.79	16.1	14.7	1.43
Baron Davis	71	69	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	9	-1	16.1	15.3	0.79	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Jamal Mashburn	72	71	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	8	1	15.9	15.9	0.05	15.1	14.8	0.38
Derrick Coleman	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	13	-9	14.9	16.5	-1.67	14.9	15.1	-0.23
David Wesley	66	65	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	12	-7	16.2	15.3	0.83	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Otis Thorpe	19	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	13	-9	14.7	16.2	-1.46	16.8	14.6	2.14
Jamaal Magloire	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	18.7	15.7	3.04	8.4	15.6	-7.17
Hersey Hawkins	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	16.0	15.9	0.10	9.8	15.4	-5.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 76, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 93, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
CHA 81, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%