NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	76		Excitement	3.5 [1126]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): +12.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	90		Comeback	1.3 [1061]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -18.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.07	8	67%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	11	61%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	-0.10	10	18%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.01	0.00	12	25%	-0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	80%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	18	49%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	13	36%	-0.00	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	11	25%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.6	29.0	14.8	24.1	1.7	26.2	123.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +27.0%

NOK +4.1%

NOK +5.4%

NOK +13.3%

NOK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOK	NBA	SAC	NOK	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	15.6	76.0	90.9	104.4
season	15.3	16.3		104.7	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	15.7	12.3	14.9	14.0
NOK	13.9	14.3	15.8	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Sampson	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	12.7	14.1	-1.43	11.8	15.1	-3.31
Brian Skinner	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-15	16	12.5	14.6	-2.15	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Ronnie Price	41	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	13.4	14.4	-1.05	14.4	15.3	-0.92
Kevin Martin	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-11	8	13.3	14.8	-1.43	15.2	14.6	0.58
Mike Bibby	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-7	0	14.1	13.9	0.26	15.3	14.5	0.80
Corliss Williamson	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.8	12.5	5.24	16.5	14.3	2.18
Jason Hart	41	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-2	-10	15.9	12.7	3.17	15.2	14.7	0.52
Francisco Garcia	95	94	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-7	0	13.4	25.4	-11.99	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Kenny Thomas	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	2	-18	13.6	14.8	-1.23	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Brad Miller	86	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	2	-18	14.1	13.4	0.68	15.2	13.2	2.05

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-1	16	15.2	14.7	0.53	15.2	12.7	2.58
Rasual Butler	46	48	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	0	14	15.4	14.5	0.93	15.5	12.7	2.83
P.J. Brown	59	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	2	10	15.7	13.7	2.00	15.1	12.3	2.83
Kirk Snyder	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	5	4	15.9	13.2	2.73	15.0	12.3	2.66
Jackson Vroman	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	7	0	15.6	14.6	1.06	16.0	12.9	3.15
David West	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	8	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.26	12.6	17.1	-4.47
Chris Paul	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	7	0	14.6	15.5	-0.87	12.6	16.2	-3.59
Desmond Mason	65	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	9	-4	14.7	15.4	-0.63	12.9	16.1	-3.19
J.R. Smith	17	18	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	14	-14	12.2	15.5	-3.26	12.1	14.4	-2.32
Brandon Bass	12	13	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	14	-14	11.9	15.4	-3.44	11.8	14.3	-2.58
Bostjan Nachbar	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	12.9	15.1	-2.26	12.4	14.2	-1.78
Arvydas Macijauskas	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	12.7	15.0	-2.28	12.2	14.1	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.3%
POR 83, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 84, CHH 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%