NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	4.2 [939]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +15.4%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.2 [877]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -16.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.05	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
John Starks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.20	-0.01	-0.09	13	18%	-0.08	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	20	40%	-0.15	1	-0.01	15	67%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	6	111%	0.17	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	23	53%	0.04	4	-0.07	9	100%	0.04
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.01	9	52%	-0.02	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	27.0	16.7	33.3	2.4	31.4	139.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.0%

CHI +12.9%

CHI +3.2%

CHI +1.2%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.6	89.1	108.7	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		100.4	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.3		97.9	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	15.2	13.2	14.5	14.8
CHI	15.7	16.7	15.6	18.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	29	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-19	20	14.0	15.2	-1.16	17.7	16.0	1.64
John Starks	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-12	6	13.9	15.8	-1.83	17.1	15.9	1.18
Charles Oakley	35	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-7	-4	15.3	14.5	0.89	16.4	16.6	-0.15
Buck Williams	34	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-9	0	15.1	14.6	0.47	15.0	17.3	-2.36
Chris Childs	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-18	18	14.5	15.1	-0.56	17.5	15.7	1.79
Chris Mills	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-7	-4	14.1	16.3	-2.19	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Allan Houston	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-7	-4	14.9	14.5	0.36	17.0	15.2	1.71
Patrick Ewing	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	2	-22	15.4	13.2	2.14	15.9	18.3	-2.39
Charlie Ward	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.19	-23	5	-28	15.5	12.6	2.89	16.0	18.2	-2.16

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	1	16	16.4	17.0	-0.62	15.2	13.1	2.19
Dennis Rodman	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	3	12	15.9	17.8	-1.96	15.1	14.1	0.96
Luc Longley	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.25	22	-4	26	15.9	17.7	-1.81	15.2	13.9	1.34
Toni Kukoc	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-1	20	15.8	17.9	-2.10	15.4	13.5	1.88
Ron Harper	73	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	2	14	16.7	15.7	0.98	15.2	13.6	1.58
Steve Kerr	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	15	-12	18.5	15.1	3.43	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Scott Burrell	11	12	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	12	-6	14.2	16.8	-2.65	16.1	14.6	1.48
Bill Wennington	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	22	-26	17.4	16.3	1.13	13.5	15.2	-1.64
Randy Brown	35	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	22	-26	16.6	16.5	0.10	13.1	15.9	-2.86
Jason Caffey	11	10	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	18	-18	16.9	16.5	0.45	13.5	15.0	-1.45
Jud Buechler	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	18	-18	19.3	16.0	3.27	11.4	15.4	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
UTA 77, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%
NOH 81, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%