NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	77		Excitement	3.7 [1032]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +15.1%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	1.2 [895]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -12.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Nembhard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.03	12	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	18	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	9	66%	0.08	5	-0.10	11	64%	-0.01
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	26.0	15.6	28.2	2.4	29.4	126.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.7%

DET +10.2%

DET +10.1%

DET +4.1%

DET +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	19.0	15.6	90.6	104.8	104.4
season	15.6	17.1		110.8	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.0		102.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.7	16.6	15.6	14.2	15.3
DET	18.0	17.7	18.1	22.6	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	20	21	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-13	16	14.2	15.6	-1.43	22.7	17.8	4.92
Antoine Carr	26	27	-0.11	-0.38	0.26	-0.23	4	-14	18	15.8	15.1	0.80	23.3	17.0	6.37
Greg Foster	12	11	-0.14	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-4	-2	18.1	14.8	3.25	15.5	19.6	-4.02
Ruben Nembhard	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	17.8	14.9	2.96	15.5	19.6	-4.13
Greg Ostertag	47	45	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.12	-2	-8	6	15.3	15.3	-0.09	20.1	17.8	2.30
Chris Morris	26	26	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-2	-6	16.6	14.7	1.90	15.8	20.5	-4.65
Howard Eisley	33	30	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	13.8	16.2	-2.46	18.5	19.3	-0.84
John Stockton	52	53	-0.25	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-7	4	16.2	13.8	2.46	19.3	18.5	0.84
Bryon Russell	60	59	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	14.6	17.0	-2.42	19.8	17.1	2.75
Jeff Hornacek	67	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	14.7	17.7	-3.01	18.5	20.7	-2.14
Karl Malone	70	67	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.04	-15	5	-20	15.2	15.5	-0.29	17.7	24.8	-7.16

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	77	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-5	20	18.6	24.8	-6.25	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Grant Hill	72	71	0.46	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-1	12	18.9	19.9	-1.01	16.0	11.9	4.03
Terry Mills	63	65	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	18.9	19.5	-0.68	15.6	14.4	1.10
Otis Thorpe	58	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	0	10	20.7	15.1	5.60	15.3	15.3	0.02
Michael Curry	39	41	0.25	0.24	0.01	0.13	4	6	-2	17.9	20.0	-2.10	15.3	15.3	0.04
Joe Dumars	53	53	0.25	0.24	0.00	0.04	7	3	4	19.8	17.6	2.20	15.0	15.8	-0.88
Grant Long	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	7	-4	18.7	19.2	-0.57	15.7	15.0	0.73
Jerome Williams	1	1	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	19.3	-19.27	1.0	15.5	-14.46
Don Reid	11	11	-0.03	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	12	-14	16.3	19.5	-3.19	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Litterial Green	10	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	17	-24	20.9	18.8	2.12	13.3	15.6	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, PHX 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAC 99, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NYK 82, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%