NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	92		Excitement	4.5 [920]		MVP	George Lynch (NOH): +10.4%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	1.1 [1226]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -15.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donnell Harvey	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	8	87%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	18	61%	0.05	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Junior Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Andersen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nene	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	8	39%	-0.08	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.03	8	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	81%	0.07	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	17	53%	0.05	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	17	57%	0.06	5	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Kirk Haston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	31.0	14.8	28.2	2.4	33.6	136.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +54.9%

NOH +0.8%

NOH +2.4%

DEN -12.8%

NOH +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOH	NBA	DEN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.5	100.0	108.7	101.6
season	15.7	15.9		90.4	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.6	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.0	15.6	15.9	14.2	15.5
NOH	13.4	17.1	15.4	17.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	3	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	14.7	15.5	-0.83	23.7	15.5	8.27
Mark Blount	10	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-2	-4	20.4	14.9	5.53	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Vincent Yarbrough	47	46	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-6	4	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Donnell Harvey	46	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-4	0	14.7	16.3	-1.63	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-7	6	16.7	14.8	1.87	14.2	16.7	-2.53
Rodney White	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-9	10	15.2	15.6	-0.43	18.6	14.3	4.32
Junior Harrington	46	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-7	6	16.2	14.8	1.37	14.6	16.9	-2.30
Nene	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-4	0	14.3	18.2	-3.85	16.7	13.7	2.94
Chris Andersen	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-5	2	16.6	14.3	2.35	16.0	15.6	0.43
Juwan Howard	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-3	-2	15.1	17.0	-1.93	15.4	17.6	-2.26
Chris Whitney	59	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	6	-20	15.2	15.9	-0.64	15.5	16.5	-0.98

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	88	88	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	15.8	16.2	-0.43	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-4	16	15.2	17.5	-2.37	15.7	14.8	0.97
P.J. Brown	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	15.3	19.2	-3.92	15.3	16.5	-1.19
David Wesley	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	2	4	15.4	19.4	-4.01	15.0	18.3	-3.30
George Lynch	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	3	2	16.8	14.8	2.00	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Courtney Alexander	12	12	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	1	6	16.3	15.8	0.57	18.4	15.0	3.39
Jerome Moiso	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	6	-4	15.8	15.9	-0.10	17.0	15.0	1.92
Robert Pack	17	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	7	-6	18.0	15.3	2.65	17.3	15.1	2.24
Kirk Haston	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	14.7	16.0	-1.32	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Elden Campbell	8	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	7	-6	21.2	15.3	5.93	17.8	15.2	2.56
Robert Traylor	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	13	-18	15.9	15.8	0.06	13.2	16.0	-2.81
Stacey Augmon	7	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	13	-18	17.3	15.7	1.57	14.1	15.6	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 70, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	95.8%
DAL 104, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%