NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	70		Excitement	4.2 [600]		MVP	George Lynch (PHI): +3.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	78		Comeback	1.2 [327]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -13.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Gray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	69%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	9	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	14	33%	-0.11	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Mookie Blaylock	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	13	38%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	64%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	23	57%	0.10	5	-0.09	10	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Benoit Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	58%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	5	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.0	29.4	15.4	30.2	2.5	35.4	145.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.4%

PHI +14.8%

PHI +1.2%

PHI +6.2%

PHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.8	77.8	86.7	99.6
season	16.7	15.6		97.2	97.0
opponent	15.9	16.3		94.8	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	15.7	17.4	15.2	16.4
PHI	14.7	15.0	15.4	17.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	18.6	16.1	2.51	14.1	15.8	-1.73
Ed Gray	34	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-17	26	15.5	16.9	-1.44	16.9	14.9	2.06
Anthony Johnson	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	15.7	16.6	-0.86	12.9	16.4	-3.47
Roshown McLeod	12	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	1	-10	18.6	16.0	2.56	13.6	15.9	-2.28
Grant Long	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-11	14	15.8	17.0	-1.25	16.2	14.9	1.34
LaPhonso Ellis	51	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	16.7	15.9	0.74	15.1	16.4	-1.31
Dikembe Mutombo	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.7	15.3	0.44
Alan Henderson	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	4	-16	16.3	16.5	-0.22	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Mookie Blaylock	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	16.0	18.6	-2.61	15.9	14.2	1.68
Steven Smith	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	16.6	14.9	1.67	16.1	12.3	3.81

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	83	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	0	8	15.7	14.7	1.00	16.2	19.2	-3.00
George Lynch	65	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	3	2	16.8	12.7	4.09	17.0	15.0	1.93
Matt Geiger	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	-3	14	15.6	15.6	-0.01	17.4	15.2	2.18
Eric Snow	73	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	4	0	16.2	13.4	2.81	16.1	17.5	-1.38
Harvey Grant	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	8	-8	16.0	15.2	0.74	14.2	19.0	-4.83
Larry Hughes	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	2	4	14.8	16.1	-1.26	15.9	16.6	-0.71
Theo Ratliff	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	8	-8	16.2	15.1	1.06	17.7	14.9	2.84
Nazr Mohammed	18	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	2	4	14.2	16.0	-1.76	18.5	15.9	2.59
Tim Thomas	22	24	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	6	-4	13.0	16.5	-3.43	17.7	15.9	1.89
Aaron McKie	3	3	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	6	-4	1.0	16.1	-15.14	8.7	16.6	-7.97
Benoit Benjamin	13	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	15.1	15.7	-0.65	13.1	16.9	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 80, NOH 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NJN 85, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 83, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%