NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	83		Excitement	3.6 [1050]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +8.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.1 [1199]		LVP	Priest Lauderdale (DEN): -8.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Washington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	14	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Kiwane Garris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Goldwire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	11	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	56%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	16	44%	-0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Priest Lauderdale	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	14	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	78%	0.08	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.05	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	9	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.8	26.2	15.4	23.9	2.0	31.3	128.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.1%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +1.5%

CLE +23.8%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.6	87.4	107.4	102.5
season	16.2	15.4		96.7	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.2		97.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.7	16.4	16.4	13.3	15.4
CLE	15.0	15.6	14.2	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	8.5	16.2	-7.72	11.7	15.3	-3.58
Priest Lauderdale	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-20	21	16.0	15.1	0.92	14.9	14.9	-0.05
LaPhonso Ellis	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-15	11	15.9	14.8	1.15	15.4	14.3	1.03
Anthony Goldwire	31	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-13	7	13.5	16.3	-2.81	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Tony Battie	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.24	-17	-2	-15	15.2	15.7	-0.46	15.7	14.0	1.69
Dean Garrett	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-11	3	15.7	15.1	0.59	15.3	14.5	0.87
Johnny Newman	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.16	-16	-3	-13	16.5	14.1	2.46	15.3	14.5	0.84
Bobby Jackson	70	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-3	-13	16.3	12.9	3.43	15.3	13.9	1.49
Danny Fortson	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-6	-7	15.1	15.9	-0.87	14.1	16.1	-2.07
Eric Washington	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	0	-19	15.1	16.4	-1.29	14.7	15.6	-0.89

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.25	27	-8	35	14.9	15.1	-0.25	16.3	11.5	4.73
Cedric Henderson	70	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	-5	29	14.9	14.9	-0.02	15.5	15.3	0.18
Shawn Kemp	67	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.27	24	-5	29	15.5	13.5	1.94	16.3	12.9	3.39
Danny Ferry	49	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	11	-3	15.0	14.8	0.20	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Derek Anderson	51	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	15	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.30	13.9	16.9	-2.98
Brevin Knight	49	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	8	3	15.4	14.4	1.04	16.7	13.8	2.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.14	9	10	-1	15.3	14.6	0.72	16.0	14.9	1.12
Vitaly Potapenko	31	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	20	-21	13.2	15.7	-2.49	13.6	16.2	-2.56
Henry James	33	30	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	27	-35	14.9	14.9	-0.04	14.3	15.9	-1.67
Shawnelle Scott	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	12.4	15.1	-2.76	6.4	16.1	-9.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NJN 64, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DEN 93, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%