NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	64		Excitement	3.0 [1137]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +6.3%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	1.1 [1135]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -18.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	13	47%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Soumaila Samake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	21%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	-0.04	9	10%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.23	-0.00	-0.05	15	24%	-0.13	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	70%	0.11	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	64%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	7	28%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	65%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	10	41%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	29.2	16.3	21.5	2.7	32.3	127.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.2%

IND +6.5%

IND +3.2%

NJN -2.4%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	13.2	15.5	66.7	89.8	100.9
season	15.5	15.9		97.8	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	16.1	19.1	15.3	16.5
IND	10.3	18.2	12.2	13.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	18	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	14.0	17.1	-3.09	14.8	12.8	1.99
Soumaila Samake	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-20	16	15.5	17.1	-1.52	14.5	12.5	2.02
Evan Eschmeyer	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-20	16	15.2	16.8	-1.62	16.2	12.4	3.81
Kevin Ollie	34	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.13	-8	-16	8	16.1	16.7	-0.65	15.1	12.1	2.95
Stephen Jackson	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-11	-2	15.9	17.6	-1.71	14.2	11.6	2.58
Johnny Newman	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.22	-16	-8	-8	17.1	16.3	0.83	13.1	13.2	-0.13
Lucious Harris	45	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-10	-4	17.7	15.5	2.26	11.4	14.9	-3.56
Aaron Williams	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-15	6	17.2	15.2	1.97	13.7	12.4	1.30
Kendall Gill	48	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	-4	-16	17.1	15.9	1.15	11.2	15.4	-4.19
Sherman Douglas	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-8	-8	16.7	16.1	0.65	12.1	15.1	-2.95
Kenyon Martin	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-9	-6	16.5	16.5	0.04	12.7	14.4	-1.70

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	83	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.22	22	2	20	13.3	12.5	0.88	16.5	16.5	0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	62	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.30	24	0	24	11.1	16.9	-5.76	17.1	15.5	1.57
Reggie Miller	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	8	8	12.1	15.1	-2.95	16.7	16.1	0.65
Austin Croshere	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.28	23	1	22	12.4	14.9	-2.51	17.4	14.5	2.90
Jalen Rose	64	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	12	0	12.4	14.7	-2.24	16.8	15.9	0.94
Al Harrington	43	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.19	14	10	4	14.1	12.5	1.61	15.8	17.0	-1.13
Sam Perkins	11	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	20	-16	19.4	12.4	6.93	18.5	16.2	2.30
Derrick McKey	11	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	20	-16	19.4	12.4	6.93	18.5	16.2	2.30
Jeff Foster	34	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	26	-28	15.8	11.8	3.95	14.5	17.7	-3.23
Jonathan Bender	34	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	20	-16	13.1	13.2	-0.10	15.2	17.2	-1.99
Zan Tabak	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	14.8	12.8	1.99	14.6	17.0	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAL 89, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CLE 74, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%