NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	3.3 [1103]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): +5.4%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	1.2 [867]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -10.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	9	68%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Zan Tabak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	70%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	6	54%	-0.00	6	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	87%	0.08	4	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	18	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Todd Fuller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	12	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	15	38%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	34.2	14.7	21.3	2.4	28.6	124.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +11.9%

CHH +3.4%

CHH +1.8%

CHH +32.6%

CHH +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHH	NBA	IND	CHH	NBA
this game	12.8	14.3	15.2	84.0	91.6	101.7
season	15.4	14.9		106.5	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		99.2	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	12.0	14.0	10.2	12.8
CHH	12.7	12.4	14.3	18.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	9.7	13.0	-3.27	16.7	14.1	2.54
Zan Tabak	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	9.6	13.1	-3.49	18.9	13.7	5.17
Al Harrington	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-15	21	10.8	13.9	-3.03	16.2	13.2	3.00
Sam Perkins	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-8	7	12.4	12.9	-0.51	13.8	14.5	-0.61
Travis Best	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-14	19	11.2	14.0	-2.80	15.9	13.1	2.75
Chris Mullin	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-14	19	11.4	14.2	-2.81	14.9	13.7	1.19
Austin Croshere	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-7	5	11.7	13.5	-1.72	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Dale Davis	56	56	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	2	-13	13.9	11.5	2.47	14.3	14.2	0.07
Mark Jackson	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	5	-19	14.0	11.2	2.80	13.1	15.9	-2.75
Jalen Rose	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	6	-21	14.3	11.0	3.26	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Reggie Miller	64	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	5	-19	13.7	11.3	2.49	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Rik Smits	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	5	-19	13.5	11.7	1.79	13.7	15.1	-1.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	88	88	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-4	17	14.5	13.2	1.29	13.0	11.6	1.39
Eddie Jones	84	81	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-3	15	13.5	17.0	-3.53	13.1	11.6	1.52
Bobby Phills	84	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-3	15	13.7	16.2	-2.48	13.4	10.5	2.86
David Wesley	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-3	15	14.7	13.2	1.51	12.8	12.6	0.21
Elden Campbell	83	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	15.2	11.0	4.27	12.9	12.3	0.61
Derrick Coleman	45	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	13	-17	15.1	13.7	1.37	11.9	13.4	-1.58
Baron Davis	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.35	-9	18	-27	15.2	13.7	1.53	11.5	13.7	-2.19
Todd Fuller	18	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	8	-7	11.2	14.9	-3.73	12.1	12.9	-0.77
Brad Miller	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	9	-9	10.7	14.7	-3.97	12.0	12.9	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 64, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAC 80, NOH 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 82, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%