NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	80		Excitement	3.1 [1168]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): +24.5%
New Orleans Hornets	107		Comeback	1.2 [1307]		LVP	Fred Jones (LAC): -4.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.00	-0.03	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	13	42%	0.07	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Cheikh Samb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	68%	0.04	5	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Hart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.01	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.23	0.02	0.00	14	79%	0.24	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	8	89%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	57%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	52%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	27.2	16.4	23.6	2.3	26.7	125.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +20.1%

NOH +8.9%

NOH +3.3%

NOH +16.0%

NOH +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.5	92.0	124.4	106.4
season	15.7	16.6		100.7	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	17.1	17.3	16.7	17.0
NOH	17.3	18.0	13.2	16.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheikh Samb	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	14.8	17.2	-2.37	13.2	16.4	-3.24
DeAndre Jordan	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-17	7	17.9	16.9	0.98	15.9	16.3	-0.48
Jason Hart	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-18	9	16.1	17.2	-1.10	16.6	16.2	0.38
Steve Novak	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-13	-1	17.0	17.1	-0.07	17.0	15.3	1.69
Mardy Collins	67	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-18	9	17.1	16.7	0.37	16.5	15.6	0.85
Fred Jones	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	-10	-7	17.6	16.5	1.08	16.9	15.7	1.22
Brian Skinner	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.20	-17	-10	-7	17.2	16.8	0.34	15.8	16.8	-0.96
Marcus Camby	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-14	1	16.8	17.8	-1.02	16.1	16.7	-0.63
Eric Gordon	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.22	-21	-6	-15	17.1	16.9	0.23	15.8	17.8	-2.06
Al Thornton	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	-6	-15	16.9	17.6	-0.73	16.3	16.0	0.32

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	12	3	16.1	16.6	-0.52	16.7	17.8	-1.07
Peja Stojakovic	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	12	3	15.4	17.9	-2.47	17.1	16.8	0.30
Chris Paul	52	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.16	15	12	3	15.7	17.1	-1.43	16.9	17.2	-0.34
Tyson Chandler	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	10	7	15.7	17.3	-1.59	17.1	16.9	0.16
David West	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	15	-3	15.5	17.5	-1.98	17.4	16.4	1.04
James Posey	43	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	12	3	18.4	14.1	4.23	17.8	16.2	1.54
Melvin Ely	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	12	3	17.5	15.5	1.98	16.4	17.4	-1.04
Hilton Armstrong	22	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	22	-17	18.7	15.4	3.26	17.3	16.9	0.37
Antonio Daniels	33	31	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	16	-5	17.5	15.5	2.04	17.2	16.9	0.25
Morris Peterson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	13.0	16.5	-3.54	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Sean Marks	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	13.0	16.5	-3.54	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Devin Brown	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	13.0	16.5	-3.54	15.5	17.1	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NJN 64, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAC 88, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%