NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	100		Excitement	9.6 [71]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +70.8%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	100.0 [12]		LVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): -20.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.15	0.00	4	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	9	38%	0.18	1	-0.10	3	67%	0.04
Matt Bonner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,-0.02	0.04	-0.08	-0.02	16	54%	0.23	2	-0.25	3	67%	-0.14
Cory Joseph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	11	32%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Green	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.16,-0.17	0.04	-0.21	-0.01	10	60%	-0.04	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.71	0.71	0.17	0.55	0.01	23	67%	0.79	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.08
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	15	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	16	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	14	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	4	40%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.20
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	15	30%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	3.6	31.2	18.5	27.4	3.5	32.7	2.6	20.3	162.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +10.7%

SAS -7.9%

SAS -2.1%

DAL +38.7%

DAL +10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.6	104.2	106.3	102.8
season	15.3	15.5		109.1	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		100.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	17.2	18.6	15.2	16.2	13.4	16.4
DAL	15.5	15.7	19.1	17.3	16.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	38	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.54	17	-18	35	14.9	17.4	-2.53	17.8	16.3	1.48
Kawhi Leonard	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.17	-10	9	-19	17.8	15.4	2.42	16.4	17.2	-0.84
Cory Joseph	7	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	7	-15	20.7	16.1	4.60	18.4	16.7	1.76
Tiago Splitter	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-9	17	15.4	17.6	-2.21	17.2	16.5	0.72
Gary Neal	55	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.49	9	-10	19	15.1	18.2	-3.13	16.9	16.7	0.21
Danny Green	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-9	17	16.2	16.7	-0.52	17.5	16.2	1.32
Tim Duncan	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	5	-11	17.4	15.7	1.66	16.0	17.5	-1.49
DeJuan Blair	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	7	-15	17.2	15.9	1.37	16.8	16.9	-0.17
Tony Parker	51	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	9	-19	17.0	15.8	1.18	15.9	17.9	-2.01
Richard Jefferson	50	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	8	-17	17.3	15.6	1.69	16.1	17.8	-1.71
Matt Bonner	54	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.55	4	-5	9	15.9	17.2	-1.28	17.7	15.8	1.94

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	68	69	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.55	8	-7	15	16.5	17.7	-1.24	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Vince Carter	56	57	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.81	-1	2	-3	16.8	16.9	-0.08	15.8	17.4	-1.53
Shawn Marion	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	3	-5	16.5	17.6	-1.04	17.0	15.4	1.56
Rodrigue Beaubois	65	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-3	7	15.8	19.0	-3.19	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Dirk Nowitzki	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	-5	11	16.8	16.9	-0.10	16.6	16.1	0.52
Delonte West	27	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	7	-13	18.3	16.3	2.07	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Lamar Odom	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	-3	7	17.2	16.6	0.60	16.5	16.4	0.06
Dominique Jones	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.10	-5	6	-11	21.3	16.6	4.78	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Brendan Haywood	47	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	-1	3	16.3	17.4	-1.06	16.9	16.0	0.90
Ian Mahinmi	39	38	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.26	-5	6	-11	18.4	15.8	2.60	16.7	16.3	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.75,0.57,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.69,1	87.0%
ORL 99, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.53,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.08,0	87.0%
MIL 97, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.85,1	86.8%