NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	9.5 [80]		MVP	Erick Strickland (NYK): +26.5%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	87.5 [14]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -47.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	7	87%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.10	-0.02	11	65%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jerome Kersey	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	2	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	12	43%	-0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.29,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.08	-0.22	0.01	20	43%	-0.16	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.47	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.26,-0.47,-0.47	-0.13	-0.34	0.00	26	39%	-0.43	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-0.00	7	33%	0.29	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.05
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.11,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	16	72%	0.20	3	-0.18	8	87%	0.01
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	65%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.12	-0.08	0.09	21	65%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	100%	-0.04
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	9	43%	-0.04	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.25,-0.28,-0.33,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.27	-0.12	-0.03	13	30%	-0.17	7	-0.19	7	57%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	29.6	16.3	28.6	2.4	34.3	1.5	15.3	156.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +86.7%

NYK +6.3%

MIL -15.4%

MIL -26.4%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.5	94.2	101.0	100.9
season	14.9	16.4		105.9	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		96.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	12.6	17.6	13.2	16.9	19.3	15.3
NYK	15.2	15.1	18.4	18.2	11.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	36	31	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-6	9	13.6	16.2	-2.60	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Lindsey Hunter	51	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-5	7	15.1	15.5	-0.40	17.2	15.2	1.94
Jason Caffey	46	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-4	5	13.8	16.5	-2.74	15.3	17.0	-1.67
Scott Williams	12	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	5	-13	18.4	14.9	3.53	18.3	15.9	2.33
Tim Thomas	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-5	7	16.0	14.4	1.56	16.4	15.9	0.47
Glenn Robinson	95	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	15.2	16.9	-1.71	15.8	20.9	-5.08
Ervin Johnson	56	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	6	-15	16.6	13.8	2.75	17.3	14.9	2.37
Sam Cassell	79	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.49	-1	-2	1	14.9	16.7	-1.78	16.2	16.2	0.05
Ray Allen	82	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	15.8	13.4	2.35	15.5	19.2	-3.66

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	47	49	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.60	11	-8	19	15.0	17.3	-2.25	16.1	14.5	1.61
Marcus Camby	74	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-5	13	16.1	16.6	-0.48	16.1	13.0	3.07
Chris Childs	74	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-7	17	15.9	17.0	-1.07	16.3	12.5	3.80
Allan Houston	66	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	0	3	16.7	15.2	1.44	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Glen Rice	89	94	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-4	11	15.8	19.8	-4.00	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Rick Brunson	2	4	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	1	1	0.0	16.5	-16.54	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Travis Knight	3	3	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	2	-1	4.3	16.6	-12.24	19.0	15.2	3.81
Luc Longley	21	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	9	-15	17.0	16.0	1.07	12.8	15.9	-3.13
Kurt Thomas	48	49	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	10	-17	17.7	14.8	2.84	14.2	16.3	-2.05
Latrell Sprewell	71	74	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.04	-14	17	-31	17.2	13.7	3.42	14.5	17.4	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.69,1	88.0%
PHX 117, SAC 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.11,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.83,1	87.5%
SAS 100, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.75,0.57,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.27,1	86.8%