NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	7.8 [233]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +38.4%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	1.7 [307]		LVP	Delonte West (DAL): -20.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.38	-0.00	0.36	-0.03	11	57%	0.45	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Jason Terry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	16	55%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	14	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	3	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	25%	-0.16
Vince Carter	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	8	22%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Delonte West	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	14	40%	-0.08	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.21	0.01	5	50%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	90%	0.13	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	16	55%	0.12	4	-0.12	12	67%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	11	53%	0.00	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.05
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.0	34.5	17.0	29.2	2.6	41.0	151.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.9%

BOS -7.4%

DAL +25.6%

BOS -2.7%

DAL +9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.3	13.2	15.6	95.7	89.5	102.8
season	15.5	15.5		101.6	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.5		97.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	19.3	16.4	16.2	17.3
BOS	13.3	12.0	13.6	13.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-5	15	17.5	17.0	0.51	13.5	12.4	1.05
Ian Mahinmi	34	35	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	17.4	17.3	0.15	13.5	13.0	0.44
Shawn Marion	63	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-4	13	17.2	17.5	-0.29	12.6	14.5	-1.89
Dirk Nowitzki	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	1	3	17.1	18.1	-0.91	13.4	12.3	1.08
Vince Carter	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	17.9	16.5	1.39	14.4	11.6	2.72
Jason Terry	65	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	8	-11	17.5	17.0	0.46	12.5	14.7	-2.12
Lamar Odom	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	4	-3	16.1	17.9	-1.81	13.1	13.2	-0.12
Brian Cardinal	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	3	-1	14.6	17.6	-2.94	9.7	13.5	-3.74
Brendan Haywood	56	56	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	18.0	16.4	1.60	13.8	12.3	1.48
Rodrigue Beaubois	17	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	8	-11	16.6	17.5	-0.82	11.5	13.6	-2.13

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	38	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	13.1	13.2	-0.12	16.2	18.1	-1.91
Avery Bradley	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-6	7	12.8	13.3	-0.46	16.1	17.7	-1.66
Greg Stiemsma	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	7.3	13.6	-6.24	21.8	17.1	4.73
Kevin Garnett	72	70	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.46	15	-20	35	13.0	13.9	-0.91	17.7	16.2	1.49
Keyon Dooling	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-5	5	12.5	13.5	-0.96	15.4	18.2	-2.81
Jermaine O'Neal	43	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	14.1	12.4	1.71	18.0	16.8	1.14
Chris Wilcox	6	7	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	5	-15	15.8	13.0	2.83	14.0	17.6	-3.59
Ray Allen	65	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	2	-9	13.1	13.3	-0.13	17.7	16.5	1.15
Rajon Rondo	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	3	-11	13.3	12.8	0.48	17.7	15.9	1.74
Brandon Bass	61	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	1	-7	13.5	12.7	0.78	17.0	17.9	-0.84
Paul Pierce	57	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.36	-7	2	-9	13.2	13.1	0.12	18.1	16.2	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.23,0.15,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.35,0.33,0.17,0.32,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.16,0.1,0	92.1%
BKN 94, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.22,0.04,0.02,0	92.0%
OKC 117, PHI 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.3,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.33,0.27,0	91.9%