NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	10.4 [75]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +109.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	6.9 [176]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -17.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	1.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.21,1.1	0.17	0.91	-0.02	19	63%	1.18	1	-0.08	11	100%	0.13
Terrance Ferguson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15	0.08	0.12	0.05	8	69%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.11	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	13	62%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Hamidou Diallo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.11	0.04	-0.20	-0.04	18	55%	0.14	2	-0.25	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	21	43%	-0.04	4	-0.13	7	57%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.30	-0.02	19	62%	0.55	3	-0.12	12	67%	0.15
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.02,0.3	0.30	0.00	0.31	0.01	18	41%	0.30	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	3	150%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	13	67%	0.20	2	-0.16	7	86%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonah Bolden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.11	6	-0.20	8	50%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.0	26.5	14.7	32.3	0.7	43.7	149.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +28.6%

PHI -1.1%

OKC +5.1%

OKC +14.2%

OKC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHI	NBA	OKC	PHI	NBA
this game	12.9	14.9	14.3	110.4	112.7	109.3
season	12.9	14.0		108.9	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.9		108.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.7	13.0	11.0	16.0	12.9
PHI	13.7	15.2	17.8	12.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	76	74	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.24	25	-23	48	11.9	15.3	-3.45	15.3	13.8	1.50
Paul George	91	88	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.37	17	-15	32	12.4	15.4	-2.96	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Nerlens Noel	24	25	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-16	34	12.5	13.0	-0.46	17.3	14.1	3.24
Terrance Ferguson	70	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	0	2	12.6	13.4	-0.89	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Dennis Schroder	52	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.50	-7	9	-16	13.6	12.2	1.37	15.2	14.5	0.74
Russell Westbrook	81	75	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	-7	16	12.6	13.8	-1.28	15.1	14.3	0.78
Steven Adams	82	77	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.46	-16	18	-34	13.0	12.5	0.46	14.1	17.3	-3.24
Abdel Nader	16	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	9	-16	14.9	12.5	2.37	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Hamidou Diallo	8	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	10	-18	14.7	12.7	2.05	15.8	14.8	0.99
Patrick Patterson	30	28	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.20	-23	25	-48	15.3	11.9	3.45	13.8	15.3	-1.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	38	37	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.17	18	-20	38	14.0	15.4	-1.35	14.5	12.0	2.58
Joel Embiid	73	78	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.40	17	-19	36	14.0	17.1	-3.07	12.9	12.6	0.34
Landry Shamet	31	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	2	-6	15.5	14.6	0.92	13.2	12.7	0.43
JJ Redick	71	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-4	6	14.6	15.5	-0.92	12.7	13.2	-0.43
T.J. McConnell	42	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	4	-10	15.7	14.3	1.43	13.5	12.5	1.07
Wilson Chandler	75	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	0	-2	14.3	16.4	-2.14	12.6	13.7	-1.11
Jonah Bolden	26	25	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.00	-18	16	-34	17.4	14.0	3.37	12.1	13.1	-0.97
Ben Simmons	76	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	7	-16	14.9	14.9	-0.02	12.3	14.8	-2.50
Jimmy Butler	78	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	6	-14	15.4	13.3	2.07	12.8	13.2	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.3,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.23,0.15,0.1,0	91.9%
MIL 107, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.53,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	90.2%
WAS 83, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0	90.2%