NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	8.8 [128]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +15.5%
Charlotte Hornets	80		Comeback	2.5 [309]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -70.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.01	0.13	-0.01	18	55%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.15
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	7	83%	0.08	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	-0.70	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.24,-0.29,-0.25,-0.25,-0.56,-0.7	-0.27	-0.45	-0.01	14	37%	-0.40	7	-0.30	12	58%	-0.15

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	65%	0.20	1	-0.16	6	83%	0.04
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	70%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.12	0.00	22	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	8	39%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	9	35%	-0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	7	19%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	9	25%	-0.20	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	23.0	15.7	24.2	2.0	45.2	133.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +59.0%

CHH -17.1%

WAS +7.3%

CHH -2.2%

WAS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHH	NBA	WAS	CHH	NBA
this game	16.6	17.3	15.6	97.6	94.1	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		102.8	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	17.1	17.2	17.4	16.6
CHH	17.3	19.9	18.8	13.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	80	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-7	17	16.4	18.6	-2.15	17.4	16.4	0.96
Harvey Grant	45	43	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-9	21	15.0	18.4	-3.44	17.8	16.8	0.93
Chris Webber	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	16.8	12.2	4.54	17.4	16.4	0.96
Calbert Cheaney	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	2	-1	16.9	15.1	1.87	17.4	17.1	0.30
Terry Davis	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	2	-1	17.0	14.4	2.59	17.2	17.8	-0.55
Ben Wallace	12	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	0	3	15.6	16.7	-1.16	17.8	17.2	0.55
Tracy Murray	24	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	1	1	15.7	16.9	-1.27	16.1	17.8	-1.70
Darvin Ham	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	0.0	16.8	-16.77	0.0	17.3	-17.31
Ledell Eackles	36	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	12	-21	18.1	15.5	2.57	17.4	17.2	0.14
Chris Whitney	5	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	18.6	16.4	2.15	16.4	17.4	-0.96

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	42	41	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-5	7	18.5	16.1	2.36	16.2	17.0	-0.78
Vlade Divac	38	36	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-9	15	18.1	16.7	1.45	16.9	16.3	0.64
Vernon Maxwell	17	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-6	9	16.8	17.4	-0.60	14.9	17.0	-2.14
Bobby Phills	74	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-9	15	17.0	19.6	-2.68	17.1	12.9	4.17
Glen Rice	77	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-7	11	17.1	18.9	-1.73	17.0	12.3	4.68
Travis Williams	8	7	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	4	-11	18.9	17.1	1.73	12.3	17.0	-4.68
Dell Curry	11	10	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	6	-15	19.6	17.0	2.68	12.9	17.1	-4.17
J.R. Reid	37	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	16.2	18.2	-2.03	17.1	16.2	0.89
David Wesley	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	3	-9	17.4	16.8	0.60	16.8	15.7	1.09
Matt Geiger	53	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	9	-21	16.6	18.5	-1.92	16.6	16.6	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.41,0	91.8%
GSW 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,0	91.5%
CHI 87, GSW 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.32,0.08,0	91.5%