NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	7.7 [256]		MVP	Tony Delk (GSW): +9.8%
Golden State Warriors	80		Comeback	1.5 [1075]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): -41.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Longley	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	13	52%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Randy Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Dennis Rodman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.20	-0.07	-0.01	17	31%	-0.20	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.09
Scottie Pippen	-0.41	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.17	-0.22	0.02	23	42%	-0.23	5	-0.18	7	86%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	15	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	65%	0.04	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	43%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	18	31%	-0.10	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.29	-0.29	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	21	37%	-0.23	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	24.6	15.0	24.3	1.6	35.0	127.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -18.9%

CHI +18.9%

CHI +17.2%

CHI +30.3%

CHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.6	96.7	88.9	102.5
season	16.2	15.6		105.8	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.8		102.8	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	15.9	15.5	17.8	15.9
GSW	19.0	14.1	15.8	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	62	63	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-4	15	15.7	16.4	-0.67	16.2	15.7	0.57
Ron Harper	53	54	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-6	19	14.3	18.3	-3.97	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Michael Jordan	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	16.2	14.4	1.78	16.3	14.9	1.34
Luc Longley	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	17.1	11.6	5.45	16.5	14.2	2.26
Scottie Pippen	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-1	9	15.0	19.3	-4.29	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Toni Kukoc	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	7	-7	17.6	14.9	2.61	16.8	15.6	1.14
Jason Caffey	33	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	8	-9	15.5	16.2	-0.66	16.5	15.8	0.69
Jud Buechler	0	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	7	-7	0.0	15.9	-15.93	2.0	16.2	-14.22
Scott Burrell	14	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	10	-13	12.0	16.7	-4.66	12.6	16.6	-4.02
Randy Brown	36	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	16	-25	18.0	14.6	3.44	15.5	16.4	-0.86

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	6	5	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-9	11	13.8	16.2	-2.39	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Donyell Marshall	63	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-8	9	15.1	18.3	-3.24	16.0	15.8	0.17
Brian Shaw	54	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.13	-8	1	-9	17.1	14.5	2.56	16.1	15.7	0.45
Adonal Foyle	39	42	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.17	0	-7	7	16.5	15.8	0.70	16.7	15.3	1.37
Erick Dampier	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	1	-9	16.1	16.0	0.04	17.0	14.8	2.27
Tony Delk	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-7	7	16.0	16.1	-0.06	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Todd Fuller	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	17.0	15.3	1.77	16.3	15.7	0.62
Bimbo Coles	64	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	1	-9	15.2	18.2	-2.94	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Joe Smith	75	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	5	-17	16.3	14.8	1.52	15.0	20.3	-5.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0	92.9%
GSW 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,0	92.8%
DET 105, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	92.8%