NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	6.7 [451]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +31.3%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	1.8 [601]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -15.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31	0.20	0.13	0.02	14	78%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
David West	0.22	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.00	20	66%	0.30	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Sam Young	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.06	-0.04	11	55%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	11	17%	-0.12	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	4	64%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.07	-0.01	8	35%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.07
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	17	43%	-0.07	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	25.1	15.6	26.1	1.0	38.1	134.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.4%

SAC -19.6%

SAC -2.1%

IND +19.3%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.4	107.8	103.4	104.1
season	16.1	15.0		102.4	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	18.6	16.2	16.4	16.3
SAC	17.7	16.6	15.1	14.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	61	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-6	17	16.5	15.8	0.71	15.3	17.2	-1.95
David West	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-3	11	16.3	16.2	0.18	15.5	17.4	-1.84
George Hill	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	0	5	17.0	14.6	2.38	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Gerald Green	24	23	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-5	15	13.5	17.3	-3.83	17.7	15.2	2.47
Sam Young	48	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.49	-5	10	-15	15.9	16.8	-0.93	16.0	15.8	0.19
Roy Hibbert	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	2	1	17.0	15.2	1.77	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Ian Mahinmi	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	4	-3	15.7	16.7	-1.02	16.9	15.2	1.68
D.J. Augustin	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	4	-3	14.1	17.3	-3.20	16.6	15.6	1.01
Tyler Hansbrough	19	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	7	-9	15.3	16.6	-1.26	16.9	15.6	1.28
Lance Stephenson	46	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	12	-19	18.3	14.2	4.03	15.8	15.9	-0.13

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	27	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-11	17	17.1	15.3	1.74	18.4	15.5	2.92
Isaiah Thomas	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-4	3	9.0	15.9	-6.94	0.0	16.5	-16.49
James Johnson	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-6	7	16.7	15.3	1.40	18.4	15.1	3.28
Jimmer Fredette	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.19	3	-8	11	16.2	15.7	0.45	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Jason Thompson	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-4	3	16.0	15.7	0.29	18.3	14.7	3.67
Charles Hayes	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-6	7	16.2	15.7	0.50	13.7	17.8	-4.08
Thomas Robinson	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.5	0.68	16.6	16.0	0.56
John Salmons	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	1	-7	15.0	17.2	-2.17	15.3	17.8	-2.48
DeMarcus Cousins	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	0	-5	15.6	16.4	-0.82	16.2	16.6	-0.46
Aaron Brooks	56	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	4	-13	15.8	15.9	-0.12	16.6	15.9	0.68
Marcus Thornton	62	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	6	-17	15.3	17.1	-1.74	15.5	18.4	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.8%
CHI 87, GSW 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.32,0.08,0	92.9%
LAC 101, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.8%