NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	100		Excitement	6.2 [539]		MVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): +19.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.6 [759]		LVP	Chris Mihm (CLE): -18.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.08	-0.03	19	60%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	80%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	15	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	17	43%	-0.10	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	10	80%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.05	13	72%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	19	43%	-0.04	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	3	30%	-0.06	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	28.2	15.8	23.4	2.0	32.2	130.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +5.2%

WAS +23.8%

CLE -15.8%

WAS +37.0%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	17.3	13.6	15.5	106.4	98.9	101.6
season	16.5	15.1		100.9	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.1	15.5	17.8	19.3	17.3
CLE	12.9	12.6	15.7	13.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	89	88	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	17.2	19.0	-1.75	13.7	10.0	3.75
Bobby Simmons	54	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-2	13	17.5	17.1	0.38	13.6	13.6	0.02
Tyronn Lue	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-2	13	17.2	18.1	-0.95	13.1	15.8	-2.74
Christian Laettner	84	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	1	7	17.1	19.5	-2.42	13.8	11.8	2.00
Jerry Stackhouse	87	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	1	7	17.2	19.6	-2.41	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Juan Dixon	21	21	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	6	-3	18.0	17.2	0.85	15.1	13.1	2.02
Brendan Haywood	25	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	10	-11	17.4	17.3	0.14	11.9	14.1	-2.23
Jahidi White	22	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	18.7	16.9	1.81	13.8	13.5	0.28
Kwame Brown	12	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	17.7	17.3	0.37	15.1	13.4	1.71

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	10	10	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-12	15	16.7	13.2	3.49	14.8	17.6	-2.84
Smush Parker	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-14	19	13.4	13.7	-0.23	17.0	17.5	-0.50
Darius Miles	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-9	9	12.8	14.9	-2.15	17.6	17.0	0.55
Milt Palacio	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-1	-7	13.8	13.4	0.35	17.6	17.1	0.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-5	1	13.4	14.1	-0.75	18.1	15.6	2.54
Chris Mihm	26	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	15.6	12.8	2.83	16.9	17.5	-0.59
Tierre Brown	12	13	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	13.3	13.6	-0.29	17.3	17.3	-0.04
Jumaine Jones	55	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	13.2	14.2	-1.05	16.8	18.2	-1.40
Carlos Boozer	63	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	5	-19	13.6	13.6	0.00	17.4	17.2	0.26
Ricky Davis	92	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.6	0.0	13.59	17.3	0.0	17.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
GSW 116, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.2%