NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	7.1 [388]		MVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): +9.3%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	2.0 [305]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (ATL): -8.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	16	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Eddie House	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.07	-0.02	15	40%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	19	49%	0.03	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	16	62%	0.20	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.06	10	100%	0.07
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	13	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	10	67%	0.03	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	30.2	16.5	25.5	2.6	29.2	130.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.1%

ATL -9.8%

LAC +20.7%

LAC +1.9%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.7	109.8	102.2	100.5
season	15.5	15.3		101.3	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.9	16.0	15.0	20.3	15.9
ATL	15.9	12.3	18.4	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	52	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	16.7	14.9	1.88	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Quentin Richardson	79	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	16.0	15.8	0.19	15.6	12.7	2.93
Elton Brand	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	15.8	16.6	-0.75	15.4	13.7	1.67
Marko Jaric	84	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-1	8	16.1	14.1	1.98	15.5	12.0	3.55
Chris Kaman	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-4	14	14.7	17.7	-3.07	17.1	12.7	4.39
Chris Wilcox	39	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.30	-5	11	-16	17.7	14.6	3.05	13.0	16.9	-3.90
Corey Maggette	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-1	8	12.7	17.3	-4.57	15.9	14.9	0.96
Doug Overton	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	18.6	15.7	2.95	17.7	14.9	2.73
Predrag Drobnjak	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	8	-10	16.6	15.8	0.80	12.6	15.5	-2.91
Matt Barnes	26	28	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.15	-18	24	-42	16.2	15.8	0.36	11.9	16.6	-4.69

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	13	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-9	12	12.4	15.7	-3.28	15.7	16.0	-0.21
Dion Glover	63	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.49	14	-20	34	14.0	17.7	-3.63	17.7	12.2	5.49
Nazr Mohammed	34	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-3	0	15.8	14.8	0.98	15.5	16.2	-0.73
Jacque Vaughn	28	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	14.0	15.7	-1.67	16.3	15.8	0.51
Boris Diaw	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	8	-22	19.1	13.3	5.84	12.7	17.5	-4.80
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	15.1	15.8	-0.78	16.0	15.7	0.22
Theo Ratliff	77	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	15.1	15.8	-0.73	16.1	15.1	0.96
Jason Terry	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	1	-8	15.5	14.3	1.23	15.8	16.3	-0.43
Stephen Jackson	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	3	-12	15.2	15.2	0.05	15.8	16.6	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.4%
HOU 113, LAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.02,0	93.1%
IND 124, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.31,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	93.1%