NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	124		Excitement	6.6 [534]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +25.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.4 [212]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -10.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.26	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.23	0.06	0.03	10	100%	0.27	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	9	85%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.05	0.08	18	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	20	57%	0.21	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	15	44%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.07	-0.05	22	67%	0.36	8	-0.19	5	80%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.01	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.05
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.6	14.6	26.0	1.8	32.0	130.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.9%

CLE -8.5%

IND +3.4%

IND +6.9%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	14.7	120.4	104.9	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		108.3	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.1	14.3	14.6	17.7	14.5
CLE	15.0	10.4	14.8	14.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	74	73	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-1	19	13.9	16.2	-2.27	13.9	12.6	1.30
Domantas Sabonis	74	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-1	19	14.3	15.2	-0.92	14.3	11.4	2.85
Darren Collison	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	0	17	14.0	15.4	-1.31	14.3	12.2	2.13
Thaddeus Young	83	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	4	9	14.5	14.8	-0.38	13.6	13.3	0.35
Bojan Bogdanovic	70	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	12	-7	14.6	14.5	0.04	14.0	12.6	1.49
Cory Joseph	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.09	10	7	3	15.5	13.7	1.82	12.5	14.5	-2.00
Damien Wilkins	26	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	12	-7	15.8	14.1	1.74	12.8	13.8	-1.05
Al Jefferson	11	9	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	13	-9	11.9	14.9	-2.95	13.3	13.6	-0.24
Lance Stephenson	36	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	18	-19	15.5	14.0	1.51	12.2	14.3	-2.09
TJ Leaf	27	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.02	-4	21	-25	15.1	14.3	0.82	11.7	14.2	-2.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	44	45	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.13	7	-24	31	12.0	14.7	-2.68	15.4	13.9	1.52
Cedi Osman	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	9.0	13.6	-4.59	21.0	14.5	6.52
Channing Frye	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	9.0	13.6	-4.59	21.0	14.5	6.52
Ante Zizic	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	9.0	13.6	-4.59	21.0	14.5	6.52
Jose Calderon	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	9.0	13.6	-4.59	21.0	14.5	6.52
Dwyane Wade	35	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-17	17	13.2	13.7	-0.49	15.5	14.1	1.38
Tristan Thompson	33	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-7	-3	14.6	13.1	1.52	12.9	15.3	-2.42
Kyle Korver	34	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-14	11	13.4	13.6	-0.16	15.2	14.3	0.89
Derrick Rose	62	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-7	-3	13.7	13.2	0.49	14.2	15.2	-1.06
Kevin Love	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-6	-5	13.7	13.0	0.72	14.1	16.0	-1.98
JR Smith	72	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	-4	-9	13.7	13.2	0.49	14.1	15.7	-1.61
LeBron James	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-5	-7	13.8	12.6	1.21	14.5	14.7	-0.25
Jae Crowder	69	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.02	-21	4	-25	13.7	13.3	0.41	15.1	13.3	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.31,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	93.6%
SAS 100, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.5%
NYK 98, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	93.3%