NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	6.5 [510]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +15.2%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.4 [934]		LVP	Kevin Ollie (CHI): -14.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.15	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.09	-0.03	14	69%	0.21	4	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	12	72%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	9	44%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.10	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	13	49%	0.02	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	16	66%	0.19	3	-0.09	12	83%	0.03
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.01	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	16	39%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	0.05	8	75%	0.06	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	29.3	15.7	29.2	2.4	34.6	140.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.6%

DAL +7.7%

CHI -8.7%

DAL +24.7%

DAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	15.6	107.0	96.0	102.3
season	14.8	15.6		109.6	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.0	14.0	14.6	14.8	14.1
CHI	13.1	17.3	12.1	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	72	71	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.17	19	-9	28	14.0	14.4	-0.40	15.5	12.5	2.96
Steve Nash	91	91	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-1	12	14.3	11.9	2.40	14.6	14.6	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	83	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-3	16	14.1	14.0	0.08	13.6	19.2	-5.64
Tim Hardaway	47	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	8	-6	14.1	14.0	0.11	15.2	14.0	1.24
Eduardo Najera	53	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	4	2	14.4	13.7	0.77	14.8	14.3	0.46
Juwan Howard	61	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	8	-6	14.6	13.2	1.42	15.4	13.1	2.33
Johnny Newman	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	4	2	12.8	15.8	-3.04	12.4	17.5	-5.14
Danny Manning	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	11	-12	14.7	14.0	0.72	16.3	14.3	1.98
Wang Zhi-zhi	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	13	-16	13.1	14.2	-1.05	17.8	14.3	3.51
Adrian Griffin	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	15	-20	14.5	14.0	0.54	14.5	14.6	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	41	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-14	18	12.7	15.9	-3.16	15.1	13.5	1.63
Brad Miller	55	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-8	6	15.0	14.1	0.95	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Fred Hoiberg	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-12	14	14.2	14.8	-0.65	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Kevin Ollie	52	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-10	10	14.8	14.4	0.42	13.6	14.5	-0.86
Greg Anthony	51	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	14.1	15.1	-1.06	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Ron Mercer	80	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	3	-16	13.9	17.1	-3.23	13.4	16.8	-3.41
Metta World Peace	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	1	-12	14.0	16.0	-2.03	14.1	13.9	0.20
Trenton Hassell	45	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-4	-2	16.0	13.4	2.55	13.9	14.2	-0.37
Charles Oakley	73	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	5	-20	16.2	10.4	5.75	14.9	11.7	3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.6%
SAS 67, MIA 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,0	93.5%
LAC 101, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.4%