NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	6.2 [566]		MVP	Predrag Drobnjak (SEA): +8.5%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	1.2 [561]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -14.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	10	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	8	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	17	47%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	15	61%	0.12	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	13	48%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	5	44%	-0.06	3	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	26	49%	-0.02	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	19	42%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	26.7	15.6	25.0	1.8	28.2	123.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +70.1%

SEA +5.2%

PHX -37.2%

SEA +10.7%

SEA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	15.6	110.8	96.8	102.3
season	16.0	15.1		106.3	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.8		102.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.7	16.3	14.0	15.1	15.0
PHX	15.3	15.0	16.5	16.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	78	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	14.9	15.7	-0.76	16.0	14.7	1.30
Earl Watson	28	28	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	6	0	17.2	14.1	3.12	17.1	15.2	1.86
Vladimir Radmanovic	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	-1	14	13.6	17.2	-3.63	14.9	17.1	-2.20
Desmond Mason	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	9	-6	15.7	14.3	1.44	15.3	16.3	-1.08
Predrag Drobnjak	50	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	13	-14	16.9	12.9	4.04	16.5	15.0	1.48
Art Long	26	27	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	6	0	17.2	14.2	2.94	17.7	15.0	2.72
Gary Payton	80	82	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	5	2	14.4	19.0	-4.61	15.1	20.2	-5.14
Rashard Lewis	61	63	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	2	8	14.2	16.6	-2.38	15.4	16.5	-1.07
Jerome James	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	7	-2	13.6	15.9	-2.32	16.1	15.6	0.47

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-9	6	15.9	15.7	0.14	17.8	14.5	3.36
Shawn Marion	73	73	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-12	12	15.3	17.4	-2.08	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Bo Outlaw	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-7	2	14.7	18.1	-3.38	14.0	17.3	-3.28
Anfernee Hardaway	80	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	15.3	18.4	-3.04	14.8	16.1	-1.23
Tony Delk	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-7	2	15.4	16.0	-0.57	16.1	14.5	1.57
Rodney Rogers	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	15.8	15.8	-0.00	15.7	14.2	1.48
Jake Tsakalidis	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-6	0	17.0	14.1	2.89	14.8	15.4	-0.66
Dan Majerle	21	20	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	17.4	15.3	2.08	15.4	14.9	0.47
Stephon Marbury	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	3	-18	16.4	13.2	3.20	14.8	16.1	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.07,0,0.01,0,0	94.6%
ATL 88, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0,0,0	94.5%
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.1%