NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	5.9 [608]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +15.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	1.3 [550]		LVP	Acie Law (ATL): -21.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	8	76%	0.15	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	17	59%	0.20	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.00	17	46%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	15	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	18%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Acie Law	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	8	0%	-0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	14	74%	0.23	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.01	14	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	2	62%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	17	45%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	8	19%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	26.3	16.7	27.1	0.8	31.2	131.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.1%

ATL +2.4%

ATL +5.5%

ATL +14.2%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.5	14.0	15.4	95.7	86.8	105.7
season	15.4	15.2		104.2	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.7		104.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.4	16.5	15.3	20.3	17.5
PHI	14.4	13.5	13.5	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-8	25	17.8	16.4	1.45	14.7	11.8	2.85
Acie Law	43	42	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-7	23	18.7	16.4	2.38	14.2	13.8	0.48
Marvin Williams	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	4	1	17.1	19.7	-2.64	14.4	11.7	2.67
Shelden Williams	28	26	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	6	-3	16.6	17.9	-1.25	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Joe Johnson	72	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-1	11	18.0	15.7	2.21	14.0	13.8	0.23
Josh Childress	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	8	-7	18.6	15.5	3.16	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Al Horford	67	68	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	17.2	18.3	-1.10	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Anthony Johnson	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	6	-3	16.7	17.8	-1.15	14.8	13.6	1.15
Zaza Pachulia	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	8	-7	0.0	17.5	-17.48	15.0	14.0	1.03
Mario West	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	14	-19	7.8	18.0	-10.23	7.8	14.3	-6.54
Salim Stoudamire	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	18	-27	14.1	17.9	-3.79	9.6	14.5	-4.91

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	49	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-14	19	13.0	15.1	-2.16	17.8	17.0	0.79
Jason Smith	34	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-11	13	12.9	14.6	-1.80	16.8	17.9	-1.16
Kyle Korver	51	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-11	13	13.9	14.0	-0.13	17.9	17.0	0.95
Samuel Dalembert	75	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	14.2	13.0	1.19	17.6	17.2	0.39
Reggie Evans	44	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	6	-21	14.6	13.4	1.19	16.7	18.2	-1.55
Andre Miller	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	2	-13	13.7	14.8	-1.08	17.6	17.2	0.34
Willie Green	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	0	-9	14.8	11.7	3.11	17.4	17.7	-0.35
Andre Iguodala	68	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	4	-17	14.2	13.4	0.79	17.7	16.8	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SEA 103, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0	94.5%
MIN 88, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.38,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%