NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	8.3 [169]		MVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): +14.7%
Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Comeback	2.0 [316]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -33.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.02	11	54%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Adrian Caldwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Kevin Ollie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	69%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.03	0.03	19	40%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Dennis Scott	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.21,-0.27,-0.31,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33	-0.21	-0.13	-0.01	11	27%	-0.16	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.03

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	10	64%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.04	24	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	7	25%	-0.11	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.19	0.02	16	45%	-0.12	5	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.33	-0.33	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	8	30%	-0.16	4	-0.17	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	33.6	15.0	31.1	1.7	44.0	155.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.0%

DAL +25.8%

VAN -14.4%

VAN -2.5%

DAL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	VAN	NBA	DAL	VAN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.6	101.1	97.8	102.5
season	15.8	15.1		98.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		109.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	19.3	15.7	17.2	16.5
VAN	20.6	14.3	13.7	14.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	48	49	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.63	7	-5	12	16.3	16.6	-0.32	15.6	15.8	-0.20
A.C. Green	76	75	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	15.8	20.2	-4.41	16.2	13.4	2.79
Dennis Scott	52	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	4	-6	16.8	15.9	0.88	16.0	15.3	0.65
Shawn Bradley	82	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	0	2	16.5	15.6	0.97	16.1	12.1	3.95
Michael Finley	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.06	13	-11	24	15.5	17.9	-2.44	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Hubert Davis	70	71	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	7	-12	17.2	13.8	3.40	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Adrian Caldwell	5	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	20.4	16.2	4.17	9.8	16.1	-6.31
Samaki Walker	15	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	5	-8	18.0	16.1	1.85	14.1	16.1	-2.05
Khalid Reeves	44	43	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.16	-7	9	-16	16.2	16.7	-0.46	15.8	15.6	0.18

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivano Newbill	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-6	10	11.9	16.2	-4.30	23.2	15.7	7.52
George Lynch	43	41	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-8	14	13.9	17.4	-3.57	19.4	14.0	5.43
Lee Mayberry	46	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-9	16	14.2	17.3	-3.08	17.7	15.2	2.47
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-8	14	16.2	14.3	1.96	16.3	16.8	-0.45
Pete Chilcutt	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	0	-2	14.9	16.0	-1.12	15.9	16.7	-0.77
Anthony Peeler	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	10	-22	16.6	14.8	1.77	15.8	17.2	-1.43
Blue Edwards	40	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.57	6	-8	14	15.0	16.3	-1.21	16.6	16.4	0.23
Bryant Reeves	63	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	5	-12	16.5	13.9	2.57	16.1	17.5	-1.43
Otis Thorpe	64	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	6	-14	16.6	13.6	3.02	14.7	20.4	-5.72
Antonio Daniels	45	43	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	8	-18	17.0	14.4	2.56	15.2	17.7	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.35,0.33,0.17,0.32,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.16,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.24,0.1,0	92.6%
IND 100, NOK 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.28,0.22,0.01,0	92.1%
DAL 90, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.23,0.15,0.1,0	92.1%