NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	94		Excitement	6.7 [487]		MVP	Shaun Livingston (BKN): +13.9%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	1.3 [515]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): -17.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	71%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.03	0.05	13	71%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,0.06,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.03	13	56%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	5	31%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.07	0.03	20	52%	0.05	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	11	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nando De Colo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	13	41%	-0.01	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	18	52%	0.07	5	-0.17	6	83%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.05	0.06	13	57%	-0.01	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.7	39.2	18.7	39.2	3.5	35.8	166.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +28.4%

TOR -4.6%

BKN +3.7%

BKN +27.2%

TOR -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.1	102.2	94.6	105.2
season	15.7	15.9		105.1	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.9	15.7	15.8	17.5	15.7
TOR	14.9	14.9	17.8	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	74	74	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.24	20	-13	33	15.0	18.3	-3.26	16.2	13.4	2.74
Paul Pierce	68	67	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.21	20	-13	33	15.1	17.1	-1.94	16.2	14.3	1.88
Joe Johnson	84	84	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-8	23	15.8	14.2	1.54	16.1	11.2	4.82
Kevin Garnett	36	37	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	16.4	15.1	1.30	16.8	14.9	1.85
Shaun Livingston	53	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	16.9	14.0	2.91	15.9	15.4	0.50
Mason Plumlee	23	24	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-6	19	13.8	16.3	-2.49	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Alan Anderson	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.14	-3	10	-13	13.7	17.1	-3.41	14.8	16.3	-1.44
Mirza Teletovic	24	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	20	-33	17.1	15.1	1.94	14.3	16.2	-1.88
Andray Blatche	33	31	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	23	-39	16.1	15.4	0.68	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Marcus Thornton	25	24	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.00	-15	22	-37	17.6	14.9	2.62	13.4	16.4	-3.02

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	13	13	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-14	21	13.7	16.0	-2.28	17.2	15.4	1.84
Nando De Colo	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.00	3	-10	13	14.9	15.7	-0.86	17.4	15.5	1.92
Charles Hayes	11	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.05	3	-10	13	14.8	15.8	-0.95	19.7	15.0	4.71
Steve Novak	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-7	7	6.0	15.8	-9.76	4.0	15.8	-11.78
Greivis Vasquez	58	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.37	8	-15	23	14.4	17.8	-3.40	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Terrence Ross	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	16.4	15.3	1.06	16.9	15.1	1.82
John Salmons	29	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	2	-11	16.2	15.4	0.86	13.3	16.6	-3.39
Patrick Patterson	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-12	17	14.9	16.6	-1.77	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Amir Johnson	39	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	5	-17	16.9	14.7	2.21	16.3	15.2	1.14
DeMar DeRozan	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	3	-13	15.9	14.9	1.04	16.2	13.8	2.41
Kyle Lowry	84	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	5	-17	15.9	12.9	3.04	15.5	16.9	-1.34
Jonas Valanciunas	68	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.19	-17	10	-27	16.2	14.2	1.95	14.6	18.4	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.22,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	92.2%
UTA 92, VAN 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.16,0.01,0,0	92.0%
DAL 90, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.23,0.15,0.1,0	92.0%