NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	4.2 [775]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (MIN): +10.7%
Washington Wizards	72		Comeback	1.4 [637]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -10.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	8	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.05	12	58%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	65%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	16	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	11	32%	-0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	10	42%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	16	31%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	25.6	15.6	28.2	1.4	25.4	123.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +47.6%

MIN +2.8%

MIN +3.6%

WAS -6.6%

MIN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.6	102.2	79.1	102.8
season	15.3	15.0		102.6	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.1	15.0	16.4	18.8	16.5
WAS	15.2	15.0	13.6	17.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	57	57	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.22	29	-8	37	16.3	16.8	-0.50	15.4	14.8	0.64
Derrick Williams	57	57	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.22	29	-8	37	16.3	16.8	-0.50	15.4	14.8	0.64
Kevin Love	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	-1	23	16.5	16.3	0.17	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Anthony Tolliver	51	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	2	17	16.4	16.6	-0.22	15.5	14.9	0.63
Wayne Ellington	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	10	1	16.1	17.4	-1.25	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Wesley Johnson	37	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	19	-17	16.5	16.4	0.15	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Luke Ridnour	59	59	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	19	-17	17.0	15.4	1.61	15.2	15.2	0.02
Nikola Pekovic	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	17.0	16.4	0.57	18.0	15.1	2.90
Anthony Randolph	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	22	-23	16.3	16.5	-0.17	16.0	15.1	0.92
Darko Milicic	34	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	29	-37	16.8	16.3	0.50	14.8	15.4	-0.64

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-21	21	14.8	15.2	-0.47	17.7	16.3	1.35
Shelvin Mack	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-21	21	15.4	15.2	0.23	20.2	16.0	4.21
JaVale McGee	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-22	23	16.0	14.5	1.47	17.0	16.0	0.95
John Wall	65	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-12	3	15.4	14.6	0.82	16.5	16.3	0.20
Nick Young	62	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-16	11	15.2	15.3	-0.11	16.9	15.6	1.27
Roger Mason Jr.	23	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-8	-5	15.8	15.0	0.78	14.3	17.1	-2.75
Andray Blatche	57	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-9	-3	15.7	14.4	1.35	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Chris Singleton	75	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-13	5	14.8	17.1	-2.26	16.6	15.6	0.95
Trevor Booker	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	-4	-13	14.5	16.3	-1.83	17.0	15.6	1.34
Jordan Crawford	36	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	0	-21	15.1	15.3	-0.14	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Jan Vesely	19	18	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	0	-21	14.5	15.4	-0.92	13.6	17.2	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 114, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAC 105, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
ORL 90, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%