NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	4.3 [964]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +18.4%
San Antonio Spurs	85		Comeback	1.1 [462]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -16.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	21	63%	0.18	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.11	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	10	33%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	44%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.02	-0.04	18	59%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	4	-0.08	10	50%	-0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	10	23%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	3.6	31.2	16.7	35.2	3.5	30.3	144.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.2%

LAC +4.0%

LAC +14.3%

LAC +4.7%

SAS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	13.7	15.1	107.1	87.6	104.2
season	14.6	15.4		110.5	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.3		101.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	16.1	15.5	17.5	15.8
SAS	14.6	13.9	12.6	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	54	51	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.00	22	-2	24	14.6	17.2	-2.64	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Jamal Crawford	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	7	6	16.0	15.6	0.36	13.1	14.2	-1.15
Austin Rivers	39	36	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	10	0	15.8	15.8	0.08	13.7	13.7	0.03
Blake Griffin	69	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	5	10	15.6	16.3	-0.73	13.8	13.5	0.26
Hedo Turkoglu	26	25	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	8	4	14.2	16.4	-2.13	14.6	13.4	1.17
Matt Barnes	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	11	-2	15.5	16.2	-0.72	13.6	13.9	-0.26
JJ Redick	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	13	-6	15.3	16.4	-1.11	14.3	12.9	1.44
Chris Paul	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	11	-2	16.0	15.4	0.60	13.7	13.9	-0.23
DeAndre Jordan	61	62	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	16	-12	16.4	14.8	1.54	14.4	12.6	1.77
Dahntay Jones	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	21.2	15.6	5.69	11.5	13.8	-2.33
CJ Wilcox	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	21.2	15.6	5.69	11.5	13.8	-2.33
Glen Davis	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	21.1	15.4	5.76	11.5	13.9	-2.38
Ekpe Udoh	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	21.2	15.6	5.69	11.5	13.8	-2.33

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	12.5	13.8	-1.34	20.9	15.3	5.53
Reggie Williams	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	13.2	13.8	-0.56	20.0	15.4	4.63
Cory Joseph	17	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-17	14	13.9	13.7	0.25	18.3	15.2	3.11
Aron Baynes	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-15	10	12.0	14.4	-2.37	17.6	15.2	2.48
Matt Bonner	15	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-13	6	15.8	13.4	2.45	16.8	15.6	1.24
Danny Green	62	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-14	8	14.3	12.7	1.59	14.7	17.7	-3.00
Tiago Splitter	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-11	2	13.8	13.7	0.04	14.4	16.6	-2.23
Patty Mills	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-9	-2	13.0	14.0	-1.00	16.7	15.5	1.24
Tim Duncan	53	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-13	6	14.4	13.0	1.38	15.1	16.6	-1.44
Tony Parker	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-13	6	13.8	13.6	0.25	15.3	16.6	-1.25
Boris Diaw	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-9	-2	13.5	14.0	-0.43	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Manu Ginobili	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-8	-4	13.3	14.1	-0.76	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Kawhi Leonard	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	0	-20	13.7	13.8	-0.14	16.0	15.4	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 111, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
PHX 123, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%