inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 106 Excitement7.9 [269] MVPMarcin Gortat (PHX): +24.0%
Phoenix Suns 114 Comeback8.3 [333] LVPReggie Evans (TOR): -10.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.080.10-0.021164%0.2000.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.11,0.090.050.03-0.012254%0.142-0.056100%0.04
Ed Davis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.080.00550%0.0900.00425%-0.03
Jose Calderon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
James Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00667%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Sonny Weems-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.001060%0.062-0.0800%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.01937%-0.031-0.041100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.070.00-0.060.012046%-0.041-0.031100%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.0220%-0.042-0.0700%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.240.240.070.17-0.00968%0.271-0.03475%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.20.200.110.09-0.011669%0.333-0.12475%0.02
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.010.14-0.001250%0.191-0.03250%-0.02
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.07-0.001154%0.142-0.064100%0.04
Robin Lopez0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.000.06-0.020.041162%0.021-0.02475%-0.01
Grant Hill00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.021154%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00533%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Zabian Dowdell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01333%0.021-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.32.328.415.725.81.832.1127.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +38.7%
PHX +14.8%
TOR -3.2%
TOR -0.6%
PHX +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORPHXNBATORPHXNBA
this game14.714.415.5107.1115.2105.7
season15.114.5104.7108.0
opponent15.715.5109.0111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.414.515.914.814.7
PHX13.714.313.416.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Johnson49490.23-0.730.950.027-152214.614.8-0.2114.214.6-0.38
Amir Johnson42420.20-0.700.890.026-142014.814.50.3114.414.5-0.13
Jose Calderon6969-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-101214.515.0-0.5413.915.6-1.72
DeMar DeRozan7071-0.13-0.370.23-0.285-131814.814.30.4414.613.90.76
Reggie Evans2929-0.23-0.270.05-0.02-7-1-615.114.50.5815.114.20.90
Sonny Weems3132-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.17-7-1-615.014.50.4515.513.91.53
Jerryd Bayless3030-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-102-1215.014.50.5415.613.91.72
Andrea Bargnani8181-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-3-5214.415.6-1.1714.016.4-2.39
Ed Davis4646-0.540.04-0.58-0.19-124-1614.614.7-0.0914.914.10.81
Leandro Barbosa4846-0.720.22-0.93-0.10-2113-3414.414.9-0.5513.615.2-1.58

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Brooks68690.81-0.311.120.1921-133414.614.00.5914.614.8-0.25
Marcin Gortat67680.78-0.281.070.2020-123214.414.5-0.1414.814.40.39
Jared Dudley84850.64-0.140.770.1716-82414.713.01.6914.913.41.51
Channing Frye82830.51-0.010.530.3171614.115.9-1.7514.913.21.68
Steve Nash46460.330.170.150.3308-813.615.2-1.5814.614.7-0.17
Zabian Dowdell16160.200.30-0.090.0362416.914.02.9916.014.41.60
Josh Childress2020-0.000.50-0.50-0.0626-413.414.7-1.2314.414.7-0.32
Hakim Warrick1716-0.010.51-0.53-0.0417-615.914.11.7513.214.9-1.68
Mickael Pietrus55-0.020.52-0.540.04-210-1217.614.33.3315.014.60.36
Grant Hill1514-0.140.64-0.770.10-816-2413.014.7-1.6913.414.9-1.51
Robin Lopez3231-0.280.78-1.070.07-1220-3214.514.40.1414.414.8-0.39
Vince Carter4342-0.320.82-1.140.00-1119-3014.214.6-0.4014.514.8-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.23,0.28,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.67,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 97, NOH 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.72,192.0%
MIL 104, MIN 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.45,0.68,0.58,190.8%
LAC 93, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.55,0.67,0.9,190.8%