NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	8.9 [127]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): +24.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	7.2 [219]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -39.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15	0.01	0.14	-0.00	14	66%	0.26	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	9	83%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Schintzius	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	4	57%	-0.02	3	-0.15	6	83%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.29,-0.29	-0.06	-0.22	0.01	7	50%	-0.23	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.21
Rodney Rogers	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39	-0.20	-0.19	0.00	20	33%	-0.23	4	-0.16	6	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.24	0.24	0.03	0.22	0.01	14	61%	0.31	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	6	94%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.11	-0.01	6	64%	0.15	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.11
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	5	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.35,-0.4,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.18	-0.21	0.00	28	42%	-0.29	4	-0.11	11	55%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	25.2	14.8	28.0	1.8	46.2	141.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -2.7%

MIN +27.5%

MIN +2.0%

MIN +29.5%

LAC -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.1	15.6	104.5	105.6	104.4
season	15.8	15.5		102.9	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	17.4	17.9	17.8	17.0
MIN	15.5	16.0	13.4	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	59	58	0.30	-0.79	1.09	0.03	9	-11	20	16.4	18.3	-1.84	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Dwayne Schintzius	16	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-5	8	17.1	17.0	0.10	16.4	14.9	1.52
Pooh Richardson	11	11	-0.04	-0.45	0.41	-0.01	-1	-1	0	17.9	16.9	0.99	15.2	15.1	0.04
Lamond Murray	1	1	-0.04	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	1	-4	0.0	17.2	-17.24	25.0	15.0	9.97
Bo Outlaw	32	33	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	-0.03	-1	-1	0	18.5	16.2	2.32	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Rodney Rogers	81	80	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.23	5	-7	12	17.3	14.4	2.93	16.1	7.1	9.05
Malik Sealy	55	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	1	-4	16.2	18.4	-2.12	14.1	17.0	-2.88
Loy Vaught	59	60	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.23	-2	0	-2	17.1	17.0	0.12	15.4	14.5	0.92
Eric Piatkowski	4	4	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-1	0	12.5	17.3	-4.76	6.7	15.5	-8.78
Brent Barry	36	36	-0.46	-0.03	-0.43	-0.46	0	-2	2	17.5	16.7	0.81	16.0	14.6	1.43
Lorenzen Wright	70	74	-0.50	0.01	-0.50	-0.21	-10	8	-18	17.1	17.0	0.06	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Terry Dehere	21	22	-0.66	0.17	-0.83	-0.49	-6	4	-10	17.8	16.8	1.00	15.7	15.0	0.77

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	58	55	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.50	10	-8	18	13.8	17.6	-3.85	16.6	17.8	-1.26
Tom Gugliotta	83	82	0.58	-0.09	0.66	0.49	3	-1	4	14.6	21.4	-6.81	16.8	20.1	-3.36
Kevin Garnett	76	75	0.51	-0.02	0.53	0.45	2	0	2	15.3	14.4	0.85	16.5	20.0	-3.51
Stephon Marbury	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	14.6	16.7	-2.03	16.5	18.7	-2.12
Sam Mitchell	34	35	0.41	0.08	0.33	0.38	1	1	0	16.6	14.2	2.41	18.6	16.0	2.61
Dean Garrett	33	32	0.08	0.41	-0.33	-0.07	5	-3	8	14.9	15.3	-0.32	19.1	15.9	3.25
Terry Porter	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	0	2	16.7	14.6	2.03	18.7	16.5	2.12
Stojko Vrankovic	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	-1	4	16.1	14.7	1.40	16.3	17.5	-1.14
Chris Carr	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.01	-3	5	-8	18.4	14.7	3.67	14.3	17.4	-3.16
James Robinson	25	26	-0.13	0.62	-0.75	0.07	-7	9	-16	15.7	14.9	0.80	18.1	16.6	1.51
Cherokee Parks	9	8	-0.14	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	8	-14	14.1	15.3	-1.15	16.2	17.1	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.55,0.67,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	92.0%
TOR 91, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.95,1	91.4%
LAC 89, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.92,1	91.3%