NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	8.8 [137]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +28.5%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	6.6 [263]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -31.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	23	63%	0.29	1	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Jeremy Evans	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	19	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	6	60%	0.07	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	0.00	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.31	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.14,-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	11	39%	-0.11	6	-0.20	6	100%	0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.26	0.05	0.02	16	91%	0.36	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	79%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.13	0.01	14	61%	0.24	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	50%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Zabian Dowdell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	42%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	28.5	15.4	25.4	2.0	35.6	136.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +73.4%

UTA -8.9%

UTA -8.8%

UTA -4.0%

UTA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.5	105.2	106.2	105.7
season	15.9	14.5		106.4	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.3		109.0	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	15.2	17.0	14.2	15.7
PHX	13.4	13.6	14.3	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	28	28	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.20	5	-6	11	14.0	16.4	-2.41	14.6	14.2	0.39
Gordon Hayward	54	57	0.33	-0.82	1.15	-0.09	14	-15	29	15.0	16.6	-1.53	14.4	14.1	0.28
Kyrylo Fesenko	14	14	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-2	3	16.8	15.5	1.26	12.1	14.7	-2.52
Francisco Elson	17	15	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-3	5	13.8	16.1	-2.36	15.4	14.1	1.31
Earl Watson	72	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	15.6	16.0	-0.33	14.5	13.7	0.77
CJ Miles	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-2	3	16.1	14.1	1.93	14.5	13.4	1.11
Al Jefferson	68	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	15.6	16.1	-0.51	15.2	12.0	3.29
Paul Millsap	73	73	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.52	-10	9	-19	16.2	14.0	2.25	13.5	16.9	-3.39
Deron Williams	75	77	-1.07	0.57	-1.63	-0.60	-16	15	-31	16.4	13.2	3.16	13.8	16.3	-2.46

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	76	75	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.58	18	-17	35	13.7	16.4	-2.66	16.4	13.2	3.16
Grant Hill	61	59	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.53	18	-17	35	14.0	14.9	-0.93	17.1	13.5	3.57
Channing Frye	83	85	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	-2	5	14.2	14.7	-0.46	16.0	13.8	2.13
Marcin Gortat	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	3	-5	14.7	13.2	1.53	15.1	17.5	-2.44
Mickael Pietrus	48	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.54	-9	10	-19	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.1	17.3	-3.12
Vince Carter	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-7	15	14.1	14.5	-0.45	17.5	13.9	3.62
Robin Lopez	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	-2	5	13.3	14.6	-1.24	17.7	15.1	2.56
Hakim Warrick	11	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	6	-11	12.9	14.5	-1.56	11.6	16.1	-4.58
Goran Dragic	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	9	-17	15.2	14.2	1.01	13.7	16.0	-2.24
Jared Dudley	40	40	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.08	-12	13	-25	15.3	13.6	1.77	13.8	17.1	-3.31
Zabian Dowdell	9	10	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.18	-9	10	-19	17.9	13.9	3.97	12.7	16.1	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.14,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.64,0.9,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.31,0.4,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.85,0.72,1	91.6%
DAL 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	90.7%
MEM 96, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.63,0.66,0.83,1	90.6%