NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	7.5 [335]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +39.5%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	2.7 [707]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -13.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.12	-0.01	9	90%	0.33	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.08	-0.01	-0.02	18	66%	0.22	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	14	39%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.12,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	23	47%	-0.02	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.31,0.39	0.39	0.21	0.23	0.05	14	77%	0.43	1	-0.04	12	92%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.09	-0.07	16	62%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	6	58%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Maurice Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	36%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.07
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	30.8	16.7	23.5	2.5	31.3	133.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.3%

DAL -5.6%

DAL -8.8%

DET +38.6%

DET +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DET	NBA	DAL	DET	NBA
this game	17.9	17.9	15.6	112.5	119.8	104.4
season	16.4	16.9		109.0	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	17.3	18.2	21.5	17.9
DET	19.0	17.0	15.3	20.9	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	44	46	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.09	11	-18	29	16.9	19.1	-2.17	17.4	18.5	-1.05
Darrell Armstrong	40	38	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.18	1	-8	9	19.3	16.5	2.77	17.3	18.4	-1.13
Rawle Marshall	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	0	-7	18.6	17.7	0.89	17.6	18.0	-0.41
DeSagana Diop	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	3	-13	19.4	16.1	3.36	19.0	16.6	2.47
Erick Dampier	32	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-9	11	16.7	18.7	-2.00	17.8	17.9	-0.07
Marquis Daniels	21	23	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-8	9	16.2	18.5	-2.30	18.6	17.6	1.01
Dirk Nowitzki	72	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	1	-9	18.3	14.0	4.32	18.1	16.1	2.04
Jason Terry	69	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.27	-15	8	-23	17.7	19.4	-1.71	17.6	19.5	-1.92
Jerry Stackhouse	62	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.42	-10	3	-13	17.4	19.7	-2.30	17.6	18.9	-1.23

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	60	59	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.37	18	-11	29	17.0	20.3	-3.30	18.2	16.9	1.33
Chauncey Billups	61	63	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.26	21	-14	35	17.7	18.4	-0.75	18.1	17.2	0.90
Richard Hamilton	59	58	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.31	18	-11	29	17.9	17.8	0.10	17.8	18.2	-0.47
Rasheed Wallace	66	65	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-7	21	18.4	15.7	2.65	18.1	17.1	0.93
Tayshaun Prince	68	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-8	23	17.6	19.6	-2.06	18.4	14.7	3.69
Dale Davis	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	8	-9	17.2	17.9	-0.73	13.4	18.2	-4.79
Carlos Delfino	13	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	15	-23	19.6	17.6	2.06	15.9	18.2	-2.29
Maurice Evans	7	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	12	-17	17.1	18.0	-0.82	24.5	17.4	7.15
Lindsey Hunter	13	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	16	-25	19.2	17.6	1.51	12.2	18.9	-6.63
Tony Delk	22	22	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.01	-11	18	-29	17.8	17.9	-0.10	18.2	17.8	0.47
Antonio McDyess	31	31	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.02	-17	24	-41	18.6	17.4	1.17	17.6	18.1	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 75, ORL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	92.5%
IND 82, CHH 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.25,0.37,0.76,0.83,1	92.1%
DAL 79, SAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.73,1	91.9%