NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

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NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores inpredictable

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	75		Excitement	9.1 [122]		MVP	Mike Miller (ORL): +33.7%
Orlando Magic	77		Comeback	2.2 [602]		LVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): -42.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	30.1	15.7	23.2	2.5	36.5	137.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +57.4%

MIA -16.7%

ORL +10.8%

ORL +4.2%

MIA -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	ORL	NBA	MIA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.2	15.2	15.5	83.3	87.5	101.6
season	16.3	14.6		94.6	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.9		103.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.1	17.3	18.3	17.0	17.2
ORL	15.9	14.0	14.2	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	92.5%
VAN 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1	92.2%
DAL 79, SAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.73,1	92.0%