NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	9.4 [78]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +37.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	10.0 [216]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -41.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.05	0.02	12	74%	0.21	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Henry Walker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	9	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.08	0.01	7	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.00	8	29%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	18	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.41	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.41	-0.14	-0.29	-0.01	16	31%	-0.33	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,-0.03,0.37	0.37	0.04	0.35	0.02	25	53%	0.48	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.13	-0.02	9	52%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	15	60%	0.24	5	-0.19	17	82%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	32%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	1.7	32.5	15.7	24.0	1.6	37.6	141.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +26.4%

OKC +27.7%

OKC +12.9%

NYK -16.0%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	OKC	NBA	NYK	OKC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.5	101.0	107.4	105.7
season	14.3	15.0		108.6	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.3	12.1	15.8	19.1	14.6
OKC	14.9	16.7	15.5	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	2	-7	15.0	14.4	0.59	16.1	15.2	0.88
Henry Walker	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	3	-9	13.8	14.9	-1.11	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Ronny Turiaf	54	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	3	-9	15.6	13.3	2.30	15.6	15.5	0.12
Landry Fields	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-3	3	13.7	16.5	-2.81	15.7	15.1	0.62
Toney Douglas	58	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.15	-3	0	-3	15.8	12.9	2.90	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Shawne Williams	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-4	5	13.8	15.2	-1.41	15.9	15.2	0.71
Raymond Felton	75	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-6	9	14.3	15.8	-1.48	15.1	17.0	-1.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-6	9	14.5	15.0	-0.42	15.4	16.1	-0.77
Danilo Gallinari	59	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	14.8	14.3	0.47	15.6	15.5	0.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	82	83	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-8	19	15.3	17.4	-2.15	15.1	11.8	3.32
Nick Collison	39	43	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.49	8	-5	13	14.6	16.2	-1.67	15.9	13.6	2.30
Thabo Sefolosha	32	33	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.63	3	0	3	14.9	15.9	-0.96	13.0	15.5	-2.42
Jeff Green	61	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.61	-6	9	-15	15.7	15.3	0.42	12.9	17.4	-4.49
Russell Westbrook	70	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	2	-1	15.3	16.4	-1.12	14.8	14.0	0.84
Eric Maynor	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	1	1	16.4	15.3	1.12	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Nenad Krstic	47	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	0	3	15.1	16.0	-0.91	13.3	15.9	-2.58
James Harden	48	50	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.16	0	3	-3	16.4	14.7	1.74	16.0	13.1	2.91
Daequan Cook	18	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	6	-9	15.8	15.5	0.29	14.0	14.8	-0.73
Serge Ibaka	49	52	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.15	-4	7	-11	16.5	14.5	2.06	15.9	13.2	2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.32,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.27,1	92.1%
HOU 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.28,1	92.0%
BOS 90, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.17,1	91.2%