NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	8.6 [156]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +20.8%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	5.6 [261]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -51.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	9	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.02	11	68%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.37,-0.37,-0.28,-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.02	26	39%	-0.20	3	-0.08	14	64%	-0.07
Eric Snow	-0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.52	-0.08	-0.44	-0.00	8	37%	-0.42	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.02	8	62%	0.22	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.01	12	60%	0.06	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	15	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.08	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	14	50%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	9	52%	-0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-0.00	5	42%	-0.11	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.8	31.5	18.7	30.2	2.7	40.6	155.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.0%

NYK +11.7%

NYK +5.6%

PHI -11.2%

NYK +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	15.2	98.9	97.8	101.7
season	15.0	16.1		99.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.5		98.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	14.7	16.4	17.2	15.5
NYK	16.7	15.9	17.8	15.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	69	71	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-8	15	15.8	14.5	1.30	17.3	13.7	3.50
Tyrone Hill	69	72	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.27	10	-11	21	15.7	14.9	0.72	17.3	13.5	3.74
Theo Ratliff	43	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-4	7	16.2	14.9	1.32	18.4	14.6	3.79
Matt Geiger	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	3	-7	14.1	16.7	-2.55	15.1	17.6	-2.51
Allen Iverson	75	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.53	6	-7	13	15.9	13.5	2.38	16.8	14.7	2.18
Eric Snow	69	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-3	5	15.4	15.7	-0.25	16.6	16.1	0.54
Aaron McKie	37	36	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	9	-19	14.8	16.0	-1.28	14.6	17.7	-3.14
Toni Kukoc	43	44	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.49	-17	16	-33	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.0	18.8	-4.76

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	57	56	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-9	19	16.9	15.9	1.01	16.6	13.7	2.92
Latrell Sprewell	85	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-5	11	16.3	18.8	-2.52	15.7	13.9	1.79
Patrick Ewing	69	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	16.5	16.5	-0.02	16.1	13.7	2.38
Allan Houston	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.56	-6	7	-13	16.4	16.7	-0.33	16.2	13.6	2.56
John Wallace	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	-14	29	15.5	17.5	-2.03	14.3	16.9	-2.65
Chris Childs	53	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	7	-13	17.8	14.7	3.04	16.2	14.6	1.55
Rick Brunson	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	0	1	14.0	17.0	-2.97	12.7	16.1	-3.41
David Wingate	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	1	-1	0.0	16.7	-16.67	17.0	15.5	1.51
Chris Dudley	6	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	9	-17	20.3	16.2	4.12	8.3	16.0	-7.69
Kurt Thomas	57	58	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	9	-17	16.6	16.2	0.40	14.7	17.1	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.32,0.26,1	92.1%
HOU 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.28,1	91.7%
BOS 90, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.17,1	91.4%