NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	7.5 [296]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +30.3%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	35.1 [44]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): -19.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	11	71%	0.21	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	8	57%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Charles Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
David Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	7	57%	0.10	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.06	-0.11	0.02	14	59%	0.03	7	-0.23	4	75%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.22	0.01	21	54%	0.32	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.07
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	70%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.10	0.00	14	47%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	27.2	16.3	29.3	2.5	35.6	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -11.7%

NOH +17.3%

HOU -4.1%

NOH +51.0%

HOU -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOH	NBA	HOU	NOH	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.3	104.4	110.0	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.0	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		108.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	18.3	15.7	16.4	16.4
NOH	16.1	14.4	15.6	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	47	47	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.08	5	-9	14	17.0	15.7	1.25	15.0	15.8	-0.79
David Andersen	30	29	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-7	10	17.5	15.9	1.65	16.2	15.1	1.11
Jermaine Taylor	13	12	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-6	8	17.3	16.2	1.06	15.6	15.4	0.19
Carl Landry	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-8	12	17.9	15.5	2.37	16.7	14.7	2.02
Luis Scola	49	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-3	2	14.9	18.2	-3.29	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Charles Hayes	68	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	9	-22	16.6	15.7	0.88	15.4	15.5	-0.14
Aaron Brooks	74	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	3	-10	16.0	18.1	-2.05	15.0	17.1	-2.09
Shane Battier	68	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	3	-10	16.3	16.7	-0.40	15.8	14.2	1.62
Trevor Ariza	73	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	2	-8	16.0	18.0	-2.00	15.1	17.0	-1.92

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	52	51	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.56	13	-9	22	14.9	16.2	-1.32	16.0	16.9	-0.99
James Posey	45	42	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-10	24	14.4	16.4	-1.96	17.9	15.1	2.80
Chris Paul	82	82	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-4	12	15.3	16.6	-1.32	16.2	17.8	-1.53
David West	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-4	12	15.7	14.7	0.92	16.8	15.3	1.46
Emeka Okafor	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	3	-2	16.5	12.1	4.41	16.1	17.3	-1.16
Darius Songaila	33	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.0	16.2	-2.20	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Julian Wright	9	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	4	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.10	19.8	16.0	3.82
Bobby Brown	24	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.16	2	2	0	14.2	15.8	-1.60	17.3	16.1	1.22
Marcus Thornton	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	8	-12	16.6	15.3	1.32	17.8	16.2	1.53
Darren Collison	17	19	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.05	-10	14	-24	16.3	15.2	1.07	15.2	16.7	-1.50
Peja Stojakovic	45	49	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.01	-10	14	-24	16.4	14.4	1.96	15.1	17.9	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.17,1	92.3%
NYK 98, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.32,0.26,1	92.0%
PHI 88, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.27,1	91.7%