NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	8.4 [174]		MVP	Baron Davis (LAC): +43.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	19.5 [42]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -19.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	-0.00	7	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	10	45%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	16	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.40
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	13	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	16	25%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.01,0,0.43	0.43	0.06	0.36	-0.01	11	77%	0.66	6	-0.23	9	100%	0.06
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.29	0.29	0.04	0.26	0.00	7	57%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	21	60%	0.23	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.15
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	-0.00	13	45%	0.00	2	-0.20	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	31.3	16.8	27.2	2.6	39.9	147.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +75.7%

LAC +17.9%

BOS -18.1%

BOS -26.5%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	16.9	15.3	101.1	105.7	106.0
season	15.5	15.5		105.7	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		108.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	16.1	14.7	19.6	15.8
LAC	15.7	15.9	17.4	19.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	26	26	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	17.8	15.0	2.86	17.5	16.7	0.77
Brian Scalabrine	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-2	2	17.4	15.4	1.97	16.8	17.0	-0.18
Tony Allen	74	71	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	15.4	17.9	-2.46	17.5	14.2	3.27
Kendrick Perkins	52	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-1	0	14.3	17.9	-3.64	17.1	16.7	0.36
Ray Allen	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.49	3	-5	8	15.7	16.5	-0.83	16.4	19.3	-2.92
Eddie House	28	29	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-1	0	19.5	14.1	5.37	17.0	16.9	0.07
Kevin Garnett	61	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	14.9	17.8	-2.92	16.6	17.6	-1.05
Rasheed Wallace	39	42	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	17.9	14.2	3.74	17.3	16.6	0.71
Rajon Rondo	74	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.48	-6	4	-10	14.6	21.8	-7.19	16.6	18.4	-1.79

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	71	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-8	18	16.5	18.8	-2.32	15.1	19.3	-4.15
Rasual Butler	40	40	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.49	7	-5	12	17.1	16.8	0.29	18.8	13.4	5.46
Baron Davis	65	69	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.43	8	-6	14	16.1	19.3	-3.15	15.9	15.5	0.41
Eric Gordon	69	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.51	5	-3	8	16.4	18.8	-2.41	14.8	19.9	-5.17
DeAndre Jordan	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.54	1	1	0	17.6	15.0	2.51	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Steve Novak	1	1	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	0	2	1.0	17.1	-16.10	0.0	16.0	-16.00
Mardy Collins	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	2	-2	15.7	17.1	-1.40	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Ricky Davis	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	4	-6	0.0	17.1	-17.12	0.0	15.8	-15.82
Brian Skinner	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	4	-6	16.1	17.1	-1.02	16.8	15.6	1.20
Craig Smith	19	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	5	-8	18.0	16.6	1.38	18.2	15.1	3.13
Sebastian Telfair	13	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	21.8	16.1	5.70	16.1	15.8	0.30
Al Thornton	65	68	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.24	-8	10	-18	17.4	15.6	1.72	15.4	17.3	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.28,1	92.3%
PHI 88, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.27,1	91.4%
NYK 98, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.32,0.26,1	91.2%