NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	129		Excitement	7.8 [286]		MVP	Vince Carter (PHX): +19.4%
New York Knicks	121		Comeback	1.8 [299]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -33.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.07	0.05	20	69%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	6	56%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.01	0.04	0.03	7	71%	0.15	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.04	14	60%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.22	0.01	0.04	25	66%	0.22	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.05
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	7	74%	0.15	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	21	52%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	13	27%	-0.10	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.4	18.6	26.6	2.4	37.5	142.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +10.8%

PHX +11.5%

PHX +23.8%

PHX +2.8%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	15.5	125.2	116.3	105.7
season	14.5	14.3		108.0	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		108.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	13.8	13.2	16.1	14.3
NYK	13.4	12.0	14.5	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	81	81	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.28	24	-16	40	14.0	15.5	-1.55	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Steve Nash	81	81	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.28	24	-16	40	14.0	15.5	-1.55	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Robin Lopez	37	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	-1	10	13.1	15.0	-1.87	13.2	13.7	-0.51
Channing Frye	67	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	4	0	14.9	13.1	1.80	13.5	13.6	-0.08
Vince Carter	83	84	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	5	-2	14.6	13.0	1.53	13.5	13.6	-0.06
Hakim Warrick	32	33	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	11	-14	16.5	13.3	3.22	14.8	12.9	1.90
Marcin Gortat	43	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	11	-14	14.3	14.2	0.12	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Jared Dudley	59	58	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	13	-18	13.7	15.0	-1.29	13.7	13.3	0.44
Goran Dragic	32	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	21	-34	14.0	14.4	-0.45	13.4	13.6	-0.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	37	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-13	18	14.4	13.1	1.33	14.5	14.2	0.32
Toney Douglas	32	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-12	16	13.5	13.6	-0.07	14.5	14.2	0.35
Landry Fields	77	75	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-4	0	13.4	14.0	-0.56	13.1	17.4	-4.27
Raymond Felton	85	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	1	-10	13.5	13.8	-0.30	14.6	12.9	1.79
Shawne Williams	51	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-5	2	14.0	13.1	0.93	15.2	13.4	1.78
Wilson Chandler	97	96	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.5	14.3	-0.79	14.0	17.7	-3.68
Danilo Gallinari	67	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	5	-18	13.1	14.4	-1.33	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	4	-16	13.5	13.6	-0.07	14.6	13.3	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.2,0.11,0,0,0	92.6%
WAS 98, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0	92.1%
WAS 116, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	91.9%