NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	7.7 [281]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +10.0%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	1.6 [362]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -19.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Popeye Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	82%	0.14	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.04	0.00	16	54%	0.08	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Jahidi White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	30	47%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	17	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	55%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.14
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.13	-0.05	18	40%	-0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.7	25.2	18.7	24.1	2.8	40.2	142.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +18.8%

WAS +14.4%

WAS +21.2%

ATL -4.9%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.6	102.1	92.6	102.3
season	16.5	15.5		102.2	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	14.5	14.9	17.3	14.9
ATL	13.9	13.2	17.8	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	33	32	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-2	14	16.4	14.1	2.28	17.2	14.3	2.95
Richard Hamilton	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-3	16	14.7	15.5	-0.80	15.0	16.5	-1.59
Chris Whitney	70	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-5	20	14.2	16.8	-2.61	15.3	15.2	0.16
Popeye Jones	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	2	6	15.3	14.0	1.32	15.5	15.0	0.46
Michael Jordan	79	78	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	4	2	15.4	12.2	3.20	15.6	13.9	1.65
Tyrone Nesby	22	23	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	7	-4	17.4	14.1	3.24	17.8	14.5	3.34
Jahidi White	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	8	-6	13.7	15.5	-1.83	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Bobby Simmons	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	14.9	-14.86	9.0	15.4	-6.36
Courtney Alexander	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	11	-12	13.6	15.3	-1.77	14.4	15.6	-1.25
Christian Laettner	62	61	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	12	-14	14.3	16.0	-1.71	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Tyronn Lue	18	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	16	-22	14.6	14.9	-0.38	13.1	15.8	-2.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hanno Mottola	17	17	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-15	20	16.2	15.1	1.07	16.9	14.4	2.52
Jacque Vaughn	33	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-13	16	13.4	16.3	-2.96	13.3	15.7	-2.39
Nazr Mohammed	37	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-15	20	14.4	15.8	-1.41	15.3	14.5	0.83
Emanual Davis	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-3	-4	16.0	14.9	1.14	15.1	14.7	0.44
Chris Crawford	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-12	14	15.4	15.2	0.17	15.7	14.1	1.55
Dion Glover	41	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.17	-14	4	-18	17.1	13.9	3.13	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Toni Kukoc	54	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-14	18	13.9	17.1	-3.13	15.1	14.5	0.58
Theo Ratliff	58	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	5	-20	15.8	14.4	1.41	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.16	-15	5	-20	15.1	16.2	-1.07	14.4	16.9	-2.52
Jason Terry	74	76	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	8	-26	15.8	13.7	2.09	14.9	14.6	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.3%
NOH 97, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.6,0.58,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.16,0.16,0	92.1%
PHX 129, NYK 121	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	92.1%