NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	6.7 [436]		MVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): +34.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.5 [339]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -12.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.20	0.16	0.01	13	92%	0.41	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.12	0.03	12	81%	0.35	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Quincy Douby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	14	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.03	-0.03	10	46%	0.06	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	13	25%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.24,0.3,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.09	0.03	14	69%	0.35	4	-0.18	11	73%	0.07
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	125%	0.18	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.09	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Yi Jianlian	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.4	15.7	24.2	1.7	34.0	129.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +10.3%

SAC +1.8%

SAC +9.5%

SAC +25.9%

SAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.4	114.6	97.8	105.7
season	14.9	15.8		105.6	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.0		110.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	18.6	16.1	19.4	17.3
MIL	16.5	14.1	12.7	15.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-3	19	17.4	17.0	0.40	15.1	13.7	1.38
John Salmons	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-5	23	17.3	17.3	-0.01	14.7	14.9	-0.27
Metta World Peace	78	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	0	13	17.4	16.6	0.76	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Francisco Garcia	47	49	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-1	15	17.6	17.0	0.53	14.8	14.7	0.06
Brad Miller	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	2	9	17.5	16.8	0.64	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Mikki Moore	64	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	6	1	17.0	18.0	-0.91	15.1	13.9	1.24
Spencer Hawes	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	11	-9	16.3	17.4	-1.08	16.2	14.5	1.66
Dahntay Jones	16	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	18	-23	17.3	17.3	0.01	14.9	14.7	0.27
Quincy Douby	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	20	-27	17.7	17.2	0.48	12.7	15.2	-2.51
Kenny Thomas	5	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	17	-21	13.6	17.5	-3.92	14.2	14.8	-0.60

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	33	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-11	9	13.9	15.2	-1.23	16.7	17.6	-0.91
Bobby Simmons	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-11	9	16.5	14.0	2.54	18.9	16.7	2.23
Desmond Mason	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-7	1	15.0	14.6	0.35	16.5	17.5	-0.99
Charlie Bell	59	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-6	-1	14.3	15.6	-1.34	16.7	18.5	-1.76
Mo Williams	72	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	14.2	16.6	-2.41	17.0	18.4	-1.35
Andrew Bogut	69	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	15.2	13.3	1.86	17.1	17.9	-0.79
Royal Ivey	33	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-7	1	15.7	14.2	1.48	19.1	16.4	2.70
Michael Redd	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	3	-19	14.7	14.7	0.08	17.0	18.2	-1.23
Yi Jianlian	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	-1	-11	14.4	16.5	-2.09	17.7	15.2	2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 97, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.6,0.58,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.16,0.16,0	93.1%
DEN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%
MIA 99, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0	92.3%