NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	97		Excitement	7.4 [316]		MVP	David West (NOH): +17.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Comeback	2.1 [333]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -25.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.00	14	61%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Devin Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	15	41%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Marcus Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	7	69%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	59%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	45%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	15	64%	0.09	4	-0.11	12	100%	0.09
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.28,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	0.01	16	33%	-0.20	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	28.0	15.8	28.0	1.8	34.2	136.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +42.5%

NOH +1.7%

OKC -12.8%

NOH +14.2%

NOH +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	OKC	NBA	NOH	OKC	NBA
this game	17.7	15.3	15.3	111.5	104.5	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		106.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	17.4	17.2	19.6	17.7
OKC	12.1	17.7	14.8	17.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	70	71	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-8	21	17.7	17.4	0.39	15.2	15.6	-0.41
James Posey	36	36	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-1	7	19.0	16.7	2.23	17.1	14.0	3.13
Chris Paul	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	17.9	16.7	1.21	14.8	17.2	-2.35
Devin Brown	63	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	4	-3	17.8	17.4	0.35	14.1	18.2	-4.11
Marcus Thornton	24	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	1	3	17.4	17.8	-0.35	18.2	14.1	4.11
Peja Stojakovic	52	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	2	1	16.4	19.5	-3.09	13.7	17.8	-4.13
Emeka Okafor	68	69	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.13	-3	8	-11	18.1	15.9	2.20	15.0	16.2	-1.14
Darren Collison	15	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	4	-3	16.7	17.9	-1.21	17.2	14.8	2.35
Darius Songaila	35	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	17.1	18.1	-0.97	16.5	14.5	2.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	33	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.09	6	-11	17	15.3	15.3	0.02	18.0	17.5	0.49
Serge Ibaka	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-10	15	16.6	14.6	2.03	19.7	16.6	3.05
Eric Maynor	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-5	5	16.0	15.0	1.03	19.2	17.0	2.21
Nenad Krstic	51	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	1	-7	15.1	15.5	-0.44	16.8	18.7	-1.90
Kevin Durant	73	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-6	7	14.4	19.3	-4.83	17.5	18.5	-1.02
Thabo Sefolosha	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	14.7	15.9	-1.22	17.1	18.3	-1.26
James Harden	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	15.3	15.2	0.17	18.6	16.8	1.81
Russell Westbrook	63	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	0	-5	15.0	16.0	-1.03	17.0	19.2	-2.21
Jeff Green	74	75	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.36	-19	14	-33	16.0	11.6	4.39	17.3	20.0	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.6,0.58,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.16,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.1%
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	92.7%
WAS 98, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0	92.1%