NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	123		Excitement	6.2 [587]		MVP	Evan Turner (PHI): +17.3%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.5 [359]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -11.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.07	0.05	12	82%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Andres Nocioni	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	10	81%	0.23	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Jrue Holiday	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	18	66%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.03	6	71%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	11	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	14	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	83%	0.19	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	7	72%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	20	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	17	64%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	5	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	30.2	16.7	26.7	2.0	36.0	136.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +9.2%

PHI +24.9%

PHI +22.1%

PHX -4.9%

PHX -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	PHX	NBA	PHI	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	15.5	129.5	117.0	105.7
season	15.5	14.5		104.6	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	14.8	13.7	20.3	16.4
PHX	12.2	14.6	16.3	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	0	13	16.7	15.9	0.74	13.8	14.5	-0.78
Evan Turner	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-1	15	16.5	16.2	0.29	14.5	13.4	1.11
Lou Williams	48	46	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	3	7	14.7	18.2	-3.52	15.2	13.0	2.15
Spencer Hawes	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	3	7	14.7	18.5	-3.83	15.8	11.9	3.84
Andres Nocioni	81	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	1	11	16.6	15.5	1.07	13.6	16.9	-3.33
Jrue Holiday	80	79	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	8	-3	17.1	12.9	4.13	13.7	16.1	-2.48
Elton Brand	63	63	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	8	-3	17.5	14.2	3.31	12.9	16.3	-3.39
Jodie Meeks	33	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	17	-21	16.9	16.2	0.72	13.8	14.2	-0.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	27	28	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-15	17	13.8	14.1	-0.33	16.0	16.6	-0.53
Grant Hill	69	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-12	11	13.3	16.2	-2.98	16.8	15.3	1.47
Channing Frye	40	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-10	7	13.7	14.3	-0.57	15.2	17.3	-2.13
Steve Nash	76	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-11	9	13.2	17.8	-4.61	17.2	13.2	4.00
Vince Carter	64	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-8	3	13.2	15.9	-2.66	17.1	14.8	2.31
Hakim Warrick	19	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-7	1	15.5	13.7	1.78	17.0	16.3	0.74
Goran Dragic	18	19	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-2	-9	17.8	13.2	4.61	13.2	17.2	-4.00
Jared Dudley	41	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-2	-9	14.9	13.4	1.55	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Mickael Pietrus	49	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	0	-13	15.3	12.7	2.53	15.9	17.0	-1.12
Marcin Gortat	67	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	2	-17	14.1	13.8	0.33	16.6	16.0	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%
UTA 113, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.14,0.09,0	93.7%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.6%