NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	9.4 [79]		MVP	Henry Walker (NYK): +14.2%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	14.2 [131]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): -23.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	6	71%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,0.18,0.09,0.12	0.05	0.09	0.02	8	79%	0.27	4	-0.15	8	75%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	81%	0.11	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	0.03	-0.08	-0.01	23	54%	0.05	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Marcus Camby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	20	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	10	40%	-0.17

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	5	90%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	44%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.08
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.10	0.00	6	61%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.08
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.15	-0.03	22	46%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	17	47%	0.10	6	-0.33	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.6	16.7	31.2	2.4	46.6	154.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.4%

POR +2.0%

NYK -14.1%

POR +22.1%

POR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.5	103.1	97.9	105.7
season	16.5	14.3		106.7	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		108.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	14.8	14.3	14.1	14.6
NYK	17.3	13.5	13.9	15.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	56	57	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.50	16	-11	27	14.8	14.4	0.44	14.6	15.7	-1.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	83	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-5	15	15.0	12.5	2.48	15.4	13.3	2.11
Brandon Roy	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	3	-1	14.8	13.8	1.03	15.0	15.3	-0.32
Marcus Camby	48	47	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	4	-3	16.0	13.3	2.65	15.7	14.5	1.18
Andre Miller	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-2	9	16.1	12.1	4.03	15.3	14.7	0.56
Armon Johnson	11	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	1	3	13.0	14.8	-1.83	15.1	15.1	0.03
Wesley Matthews	53	53	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	9	-13	13.6	15.9	-2.32	15.1	15.1	0.01
Dante Cunningham	24	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	13.1	15.1	-1.98	14.4	15.3	-0.85
Rudy Fernandez	34	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.14	-1	6	-7	13.0	15.5	-2.49	15.0	15.1	-0.07
Fabricio Oberto	36	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	12	-19	13.3	15.4	-2.04	14.5	15.4	-0.91

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	50	49	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.16	5	-10	15	15.8	14.3	1.58	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Timofey Mozgov	28	29	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	15.1	15.0	0.10	17.5	13.4	4.09
Roger Mason Jr.	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.2	-0.75	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Henry Walker	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-4	3	15.7	14.7	1.08	13.8	15.1	-1.39
Danilo Gallinari	29	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	6	-17	15.7	14.8	0.93	16.4	13.9	2.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-3	1	15.2	14.9	0.31	15.2	13.2	1.92
Landry Fields	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	2	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.06	14.8	14.4	0.46
Wilson Chandler	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-3	1	14.6	17.1	-2.44	13.9	17.4	-3.42
Toney Douglas	57	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-6	7	14.4	16.0	-1.54	13.3	16.8	-3.54
Raymond Felton	75	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	2	-9	15.0	15.5	-0.49	14.9	13.8	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	92.2%
WAS 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.31,0	92.1%
NOH 98, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.57,0.72,0	91.4%